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Drogheda vs Bluebell Utd

Ireland Ireland

League Cup 2016 Sullivan & Lambe Park, Drogheda
Mon, Mar 21, 2016
0 - 1
07:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

62'
Keeler T.
113'
O'Brien M.
1' Event
Byrne S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Bluebell Utd advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Drogheda
15%
Draws
0%
Bluebell Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Drogheda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Drogheda's 1.3 goals per match outpaces what Bluebell Utd have produced (1.25).
  • Model gives Drogheda a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Bluebell Utd, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 16%
Bluebell Utd Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Drogheda Bluebell Utd
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.3 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2016 League Cup
Drogheda vs Bluebell Utd
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drogheda 84 / 100
Bluebell Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Drogheda Bluebell Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Drogheda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bluebell Utd lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Drogheda's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bluebell Utd has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Drogheda VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Drogheda

(Home)
18 Sept
Bohemians
2 : 1
Drogheda
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2
Drogheda
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2
Galway United
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3
Dundalk
Page 1 of 6

Bluebell Utd

(Away)
31 Jul
Bluebell Utd
0 : 7
Galway United
16 Jul
Bluebell Utd
3 : 4
Newry City
10 Oct
Crumlin Utd
3 : 0
Bluebell Utd
20 Aug
Bluebell Utd
0 : 1
Kilnamanagh
08 Aug
Kilbarrack Utd
2 : 1
Bluebell Utd
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Bohemians 3
Longford 1
Cabinteely 0
Shelbourne 5
Bray 2
UC Dublin 0
Drogheda 0
Bluebell Utd 1
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Patricks -
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Waterford 4
Rockmount 0
TBD -
Cork City -
Galway United 3
Mayo 1
Cockhill 0
Finn Harps 1
Wexford -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers 2
Limerick 4
1/8-finals
Shamrock Rovers 3
Athlone 0
Bohemians 0
Shelbourne 1
Bray 4
Bluebell Utd 2
Dundalk 0
St. Patricks 1
Derry City 2
Sligo Rovers 0
Waterford 0
Cork City 7
Galway United 1
Finn Harps 0
Wexford 0
Limerick 4
Quarter-finals
Shamrock Rovers 2
Shelbourne 1
Bray 2
St. Patricks 3
Derry City 2
Cork City 1
Galway United 0
Limerick 2
Semi-finals
Shamrock Rovers 1
St. Patricks 3
Derry City 0
Limerick 1
Final
St. Patricks 4
Limerick 1