Sport Picks
Drogheda vs St Mochta's
Ireland
League Cup 2018 Sullivan & Lambe Park, Drogheda 
Match Events
13'
13'
Kearney G.
19'
19'
Kelly D.
(Penalty)
20'
20'
Gratzer L.
AI Match Summary
Drogheda in this League Cup 2018 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Drogheda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Drogheda have won more games recently than St Mochta's.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Drogheda have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Drogheda, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 68%
St Mochta's Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Drogheda | St Mochta's |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 18 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 0 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Drogheda vs St Mochta's
0:0
Apr 9, 2018 League Cup
Drogheda vs St Mochta's
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Drogheda Compare
Top Goalscorer Doyle M.
1 Goals Assists Leader McPhillips E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
St Mochta's Compare
Top Goalscorer Hughes P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Drogheda 41 / 100
St Mochta's 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Drogheda St Mochta's
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Drogheda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St Mochta's has conceded goals in 89% of their last 18 outings.
Drogheda's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
St Mochta's lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Drogheda VS St Mochta's
1 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Drogheda
(Home) 14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2 Drogheda
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0 Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2 Galway United
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3 Dundalk
21 Aug
Drogheda
0 : 2 St. Patricks
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0 Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2 Galway United
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3 Dundalk
21 Aug
Drogheda
0 : 2 St. Patricks
31 Jul
Drogheda
0 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 4
St Mochta's
(Away) 17 Jul
St Mochta's
1 : 3 Dundalk
15 May
Wayside Celtic
3 : 4 St Mochta's
18 Jul
Waterford
5 : 1 St Mochta's
17 May
St Mochta's
4 : 0 Douglas Hall
08 Oct
St. Patricks
2 : 1 St Mochta's
Page 1 of 4
15 May
Wayside Celtic
3 : 4 St Mochta's
18 Jul
Waterford
5 : 1 St Mochta's
08 Oct
St. Patricks
2 : 1 St Mochta's
27 Aug
Dundalk
5 : 1 St Mochta's
25 Jul
Crumlin Utd
1 : 2 St Mochta's
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Cobh Ramblers 1
Wexford 0
TBD -
Limerick -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Longford -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Patricks -
UC Dublin 2
Athlone 0
Cabinteely 1
Bohemians 5
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
Cockhill 0
Galway United 1
Waterford 4
University College Cork 1
TBD -
Cork City -
Derry City -
TBD -
Mayo 3
Finn Harps 4
Shelbourne 3
Bray 0
St Mochta's 2
Drogheda 3
1/8-finals
Cobh Ramblers 1
Limerick 0
Shamrock Rovers 0
Longford 1
Dundalk 5
St. Patricks 4
UC Dublin 2
Bohemians 3
Sligo Rovers 1
Galway United 0
Waterford 2
Cork City 1
Derry City 2
Finn Harps 1
Shelbourne 7
Drogheda 2
Quarter-finals
Cobh Ramblers 2
Longford 0
Dundalk 3
Bohemians 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Waterford 0
Derry City 7
Shelbourne 3
Semi-finals
Cobh Ramblers 1
Dundalk 0
Sligo Rovers 0
Derry City 1
Final
Cobh Ramblers 1
Derry City 3
