Sport Picks

Ireland

Premier Division Sullivan & Lambe Park

Drogheda

3 - 3

Waterford

Our Tip

Match Events

Lonergan T.

21'

Long K.

Assist: Noonan C.

27'

Doyle M.

Assist: Kavanagh B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Drogheda

30%

Draws

34%

Waterford

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Drogheda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Waterford at 2.38 per game, Drogheda at 1.13.
Drogheda are the model's pick here, at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Drogheda Clean Sheet 10%

Waterford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Drogheda	Waterford
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	8	8
Draws	8	9
Losses	11	12
Goals Scored	1.13	2.38
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Premier Division

Drogheda vs Waterford

Possession: 59% - 44% Cards: 4 - 1

3:3

May 18, 2026 Premier Division

Waterford vs Drogheda

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Feb 13, 2026 Premier Division

Drogheda vs Waterford

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Oct 5, 2025 Premier Division

Waterford vs Drogheda

Possession: 50% - 48% Cards: 4 - 4

2:0

Aug 8, 2025 Premier Division

Drogheda vs Waterford

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Drogheda Compare

Top Goalscorer Doyle M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Farrell S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Waterford Compare

Top Goalscorer Lonergan T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Long K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drogheda 34 / 100

Waterford 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Drogheda Waterford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Drogheda scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Waterford conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Drogheda stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Drogheda VS Waterford

1.13 Goals Scored 2.38

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75

100% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 88%

25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	25	15	5	5	40:22	50
2	Bohemians	25	12	7	6	40:27	43
3	St. Patricks	24	12	6	6	39:20	42
4	Dundalk	24	9	8	7	38:36	35
5	Shelbourne	24	8	10	6	35:35	34
6	Derry City	25	6	11	8	32:31	29
7	Galway United	23	7	6	10	32:39	27
8	Drogheda	24	6	7	11	29:41	25
9	Waterford	24	4	9	11	33:47	21
10	Sligo Rovers	24	5	5	14	20:40	20