Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dubnica vs Castkovce

Slovakia Slovakia

3. Liga - West 2023/2024 Mestský futbalový štadión Dubnica, Dubnica nad Vahom
Dubnica Logo

Dubnica

3 - 3
FT
Castkovce Logo

Castkovce

Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. Liga - West 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Dubnica
20%
Draws
58%
Castkovce
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castkovce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Castkovce have won more games recently than Dubnica.
  • Win probability leans Castkovce's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Dubnica Clean Sheet 20%
Castkovce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dubnica Castkovce
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 4 9
Draws 1 13
Losses 26 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.97 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 3. Liga - West
Dubnica vs Castkovce
3:3
Sep 2, 2023 3. Liga - West
Castkovce vs Dubnica
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dubnica 10 / 100
Castkovce 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dubnica Castkovce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castkovce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castkovce has conceded goals in 91% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Dubnica scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Dubnica stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Castkovce
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dubnica

(Home)
08 Jun
Dubnica
3 : 1
Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom
01 Jun
Zvolen
5 : 0
Dubnica
25 May
Dubnica
0 : 4
Raca
18 May
Sala
6 : 1
Dubnica
12 May
Dubnica
0 : 1
Jednota Banova
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Castkovce

(Away)
26 Sept
Dunajska Luzna
1 : 0
Castkovce
19 Sept
Castkovce
3 : 2
Komarno B
13 Sept
Castkovce
3 : 3
Raca
05 Sept
Castkovce
1 : 1
Sala
29 Aug
Dun. Streda B
1 : 3
Castkovce
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zvolen 30 18 8 4 50:29 62
2 Sered 30 16 8 6 55:28 56
3 Galanta 30 16 6 8 43:29 54
4 Belusa 30 14 8 8 47:37 50
5 Sala 30 13 10 7 52:37 49
6 MSK Martin 30 13 9 8 51:44 48
7 Hamsik Academy Banska Bystrica 30 12 11 7 45:29 47
8 Malacky 30 11 9 10 42:32 42
9 Raca 30 10 10 10 39:32 40
10 Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom 30 11 7 12 44:42 40
11 Podkonice 30 9 8 13 46:58 35
12 Castkovce 30 9 8 13 39:48 35
13 Velke Ludince 30 9 7 14 38:42 34
14 Jednota Banova 30 7 10 13 33:41 31
15 AFC Nove Mesto 30 6 4 20 39:76 22
16 Dubnica 30 4 1 25 29:88 10
Promotion - 2. liga 2024/2025 (Main)