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Dubra SD vs Bergantinos

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between Dubra SD and Bergantinos finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bergantinos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Dubra SD
20%
Draws
51%
Bergantinos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bergantinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Dubra SD haven't matched Bergantinos's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bergantinos a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Dubra SD Clean Sheet 20%
Bergantinos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dubra SD Bergantinos
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 4 15
Draws 4 9
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.33 0.95
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dubra SD vs Bergantinos
0:3
Oct 9, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Dubra SD
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dubra SD 12 / 100
Bergantinos 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dubra SD Bergantinos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergantinos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Dubra SD scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Bergantinos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 37 matches.

Recent resilience: Dubra SD stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bergantinos
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dubra SD

(Home)
14 May
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 0
Dubra SD
07 May
Dubra SD
3 : 2
Barbadas-Bentraces
30 Apr
SD Negreira
3 : 3
Dubra SD
23 Apr
Dubra SD
0 : 3
Cerceda
13 Apr
CD Choco
2 : 0
Dubra SD
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Bergantinos

(Away)
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Bergantinos
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2
Bergantinos
12 Aug
Bergantinos
0 : 3
Lugo
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