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Dubrava Zagreb vs Kustosija - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL SRC Pescenica, Zagreb
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dubrava Zagreb host Kustosija in the Prva NL. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Dubrava Zagreb at 1.03 goals for, 1.66 against; Kustosija at 1.41 for, 0.9 against. Past meetings favor Dubrava Zagreb slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.00, favoring Kustosija. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dubrava Zagreb
35%
Draws
25%
Kustosija
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dubrava Zagreb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Kustosija have won more games recently than Dubrava Zagreb.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Dubrava Zagreb taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dubrava Zagreb Clean Sheet 20%
Kustosija Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dubrava Zagreb Kustosija
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.66 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Dubrava Zagreb vs Kustosija
0:1
Jul 31, 2024 Club Friendly
Dubrava Zagreb vs Kustosija
2:2
Aug 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Kustosija vs Dubrava Zagreb
1:4
Jun 3, 2023 Prva NL
Kustosija vs Dubrava Zagreb
0:1
Mar 3, 2023 Prva NL
Dubrava Zagreb vs Kustosija
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dubrava Zagreb 49 / 100
Kustosija 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dubrava Zagreb Kustosija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dubrava Zagreb Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Dubrava Zagreb scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Dubrava Zagreb has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kustosija let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dubrava Zagreb VS Kustosija
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dubrava Zagreb

(Home)
26 Sept
Dubrava Zagreb
0 : 1
Bijelo Brdo
20 Sept
Karlovac
0 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
12 Sept
Hrvace
0 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
06 Sept
Dubrava Zagreb
2 : 1
Opatija
02 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
Page 1 of 6

Kustosija

(Away)
09 Oct
Opatija
1 : 1
Kustosija
26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Kustosija
20 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 0
Croatia Zmijavci
16 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 2
Bijelo Brdo
12 Sept
Cibalia
0 : 0
Kustosija
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
2 Croatia Zmijavci 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
3 Cibalia 7 3 4 0 7:4 13
4 Bijelo Brdo 7 4 1 2 8:6 13
5 Segesta 7 3 2 2 9:8 11
6 Mladost Zdralovi 7 3 2 2 6:6 11
7 Sesvete 7 3 0 4 9:8 9
8 Dinamo Zagreb 2 7 3 0 4 11:11 9
9 Dugopolje 7 2 3 2 9:9 9
10 Dubrava Zagreb 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
11 Karlovac 7 2 2 3 8:10 8
12 Orijent 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
13 Vukovar 1991 7 2 2 3 11:14 8
14 Opatija 7 2 1 4 8:10 7
15 Hrvace 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
16 Kustosija 7 1 3 3 3:5 6
Promotion - HNL 2027/2028 (Main)