Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dugo Selo vs Bistra

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Dugo Selo Logo

Dugo Selo

3 - 1
FT
Bistra Logo

Bistra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dugo Selo in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dugo Selo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Dugo Selo
15%
Draws
37%
Bistra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dugo Selo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Dugo Selo have won more games recently than Bistra.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Dugo Selo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dugo Selo have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Dugo Selo Clean Sheet 20%
Bistra Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dugo Selo Bistra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2022 3. HNL Center
Dugo Selo vs Bistra
3:1
Sep 8, 2021 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Dugo Selo
0:2
May 29, 2021 3. HNL Center
Dugo Selo vs Bistra
1:0
Nov 15, 2020 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Dugo Selo
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dugo Selo 76 / 100
Bistra 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dugo Selo Bistra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dugo Selo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bistra conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Dugo Selo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Dugo Selo's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Dugo Selo VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dugo Selo

(Home)
26 Sept
Dugo Selo
3 : 0
NK Inker Zapresic
18 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
12 Sept
Dugo Selo
1 : 2
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
04 Sept
Uljanik Pula
3 : 0
Dugo Selo
29 Aug
Dugo Selo
1 : 0
Uskok Klis
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Bistra

(Away)
19 Oct
Bistra
1 : 6
Lok. Zagreb
31 Aug
Bistra
2 : 1
Vodice
28 May
Bistra
3 : 1
Mladost Petrinja
21 May
Lucko
4 : 2
Bistra
18 May
Bistra
2 : 2
Lukavec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)