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Stadium Background

Dugo Selo vs Zapresic

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Jugovic F.
70' Event
Herceg K.
86' Event
Filipovic I.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL game between Dugo Selo and Zapresic finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dugo Selo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Dugo Selo
20%
Draws
29%
Zapresic
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dugo Selo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dugo Selo come out ahead of Zapresic on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Dugo Selo taking it.
  • Regular Druga NL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Dugo Selo Clean Sheet 20%
Zapresic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dugo Selo Zapresic
Matches Played 29 18
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.86 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Druga NL
Dugo Selo vs Zapresic
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dugo Selo Compare

Top Goalscorer Jugovic F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Herceg K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Zapresic Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dugo Selo 76 / 100
Zapresic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dugo Selo Zapresic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dugo Selo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zapresic has conceded goals in 78% of their last 18 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Dugo Selo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Dugo Selo scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Dugo Selo VS Zapresic
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dugo Selo

(Home)
03 Oct
Zagora
0 : 4
Dugo Selo
26 Sept
Dugo Selo
3 : 0
Zapresic
18 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
12 Sept
Dugo Selo
1 : 2
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
04 Sept
Uljanik Pula
3 : 0
Dugo Selo
Page 1 of 6

Zapresic

(Away)
03 Oct
Zapresic
0 : 0
Bjelovar
26 Sept
Dugo Selo
3 : 0
Zapresic
19 Sept
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
0 : 2
Zapresic
12 Sept
Zapresic
2 : 3
Uskok Klis
05 Sept
Grobnican
2 : 2
Zapresic
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bjelovar 7 4 2 1 16:9 14
2 Trnje 7 4 1 2 12:7 13
3 Dugo Selo 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
4 Uskok Klis 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
5 Solin 7 3 2 2 11:9 11
6 Uljanik Pula 7 3 2 2 14:15 11
7 Jarun 6 2 4 0 14:10 10
8 Dragovoljac 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
9 Radnik Krizevci 7 3 1 3 10:11 10
10 Zagora 7 2 3 2 17:16 9
11 Slavonija Pozega 7 2 2 3 13:13 8
12 Zapresic 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
13 Grobnican 7 2 1 4 9:17 7
14 Lucko 7 1 2 4 7:10 5
15 NK Koprivnica 7 1 2 4 9:17 5
16 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
Promotion - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)