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Dugo Selo vs Ponikve

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Dugo Selo Logo

Dugo Selo

1 - 0
FT
Ponikve Logo

Ponikve

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dugo Selo in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dugo Selo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Dugo Selo
15%
Draws
42%
Ponikve
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dugo Selo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Dugo Selo have won more games recently than Ponikve.
  • Win probability leans Dugo Selo's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Dugo Selo Clean Sheet 20%
Ponikve Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dugo Selo Ponikve
Matches Played 49 31
Wins 21 8
Draws 11 6
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.08 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 3. HNL Center
Dugo Selo vs Ponikve
1:0
Oct 16, 2021 3. HNL Center
Ponikve vs Dugo Selo
0:2
Jun 5, 2021 3. HNL Center
Ponikve vs Dugo Selo
4:2
Nov 21, 2020 3. HNL Center
Dugo Selo vs Ponikve
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dugo Selo 40 / 100
Ponikve 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dugo Selo Ponikve

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dugo Selo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dugo Selo's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 49 recent games.

Ponikve let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Dugo Selo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dugo Selo VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dugo Selo

(Home)
26 Sept
Dugo Selo
3 : 0
NK Inker Zapresic
18 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
12 Sept
Dugo Selo
1 : 2
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
04 Sept
Uljanik Pula
3 : 0
Dugo Selo
29 Aug
Dugo Selo
1 : 0
Uskok Klis
Page 1 of 10

Ponikve

(Away)
27 Sept
Ponikve
1 : 4
Din. Zagreb
30 Aug
Bilogora
0 : 2
Ponikve
22 Mar
Ponikve
0 : 1
Rudes
28 May
Ravnice
1 : 2
Ponikve
21 May
Ponikve
2 : 0
Segesta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)