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Dugopolje vs Zapresic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL 2022/2023 Stadion Hrvatski Vitezovi, Dugopolje
Sat, Aug 13, 2022
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dugopolje host Zapresic in the Prva NL 2022/2023. This one's hard to separate. Dugopolje have averaged 1.55 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Zapresic's 1.17 scored and 1.61 conceded. Head-to-head, Dugopolje have won 1 to Zapresic's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Aug 13, 2022, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.44) point toward Dugopolje. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Dugopolje
35%
Draws
32%
Zapresic
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dugopolje lately — more wins on the board than Zapresic.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Prva NL 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dugopolje Clean Sheet 16%
Zapresic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dugopolje Zapresic
Matches Played 29 18
Wins 14 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2022 Prva NL
Dugopolje vs Zapresic
0:0
Apr 2, 2022 Prva NL
Dugopolje vs Zapresic
2:2
Sep 25, 2021 Prva NL
Zapresic vs Dugopolje
1:4
Apr 17, 2021 Prva NL
Dugopolje vs Zapresic
1:1
Oct 3, 2020 Prva NL
Zapresic vs Dugopolje
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dugopolje 30 / 100
Zapresic 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dugopolje Zapresic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dugopolje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dugopolje's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Zapresic let in goals in 78% of their last 18 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Dugopolje went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dugopolje VS Zapresic
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dugopolje

(Home)
27 Sept
Cibalia
1 : 0
Dugopolje
19 Sept
Dugopolje
3 : 2
Dinamo Zagreb 2
12 Sept
Segesta
2 : 1
Dugopolje
05 Sept
Dugopolje
0 : 0
Mladost Zdralovi
02 Sept
Dugopolje
2 : 2
Karlovac
Page 1 of 6

Zapresic

(Away)
03 Oct
Zapresic
0 : 0
Bjelovar
26 Sept
Dugo Selo
3 : 0
Zapresic
19 Sept
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
0 : 2
Zapresic
12 Sept
Zapresic
2 : 3
Uskok Klis
05 Sept
Grobnican
2 : 2
Zapresic
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rudes 33 19 7 7 56:26 64
2 Vukovar 1991 33 17 12 4 57:25 63
3 Cibalia 33 13 15 5 37:26 54
4 Bijelo Brdo 33 12 8 13 41:37 44
5 Jarun 33 13 5 15 43:57 44
6 Orijent 33 10 13 10 45:45 43
7 Croatia Zmijavci 33 12 7 14 37:44 43
8 Solin 33 12 7 14 47:55 43
9 Dubrava Zagreb 33 11 9 13 38:39 42
10 Dugopolje 33 9 14 10 30:35 41
11 Kustosija 33 9 7 17 35:50 34
12 Dragovoljac 33 4 10 19 32:59 22
Promotion - HNL 2023/2024 (Main)
Relegation - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2023/2024 (Main)