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Duhok vs Erbil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Thu, Nov 19, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Duhok host Erbil in the Stars League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Erbil have shipped 0.83 goals a game lately, while Duhok have conceded 1.27 and scored 1.43. Past meetings favor Erbil slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 5, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.38, favoring Erbil. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Duhok
20%
Draws
38%
Erbil
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Duhok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Duhok haven't matched Erbil's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Erbil have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Duhok Clean Sheet 17%
Erbil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duhok Erbil
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.43 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Iraq Cup
Duhok vs Erbil
0:0
Mar 18, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Erbil
0:2
Jan 13, 2026 Stars League
Erbil vs Duhok
2:1
Jun 25, 2025 Stars League
Erbil vs Duhok
2:1
Sep 27, 2024 Stars League
Duhok vs Erbil
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duhok 36 / 100
Erbil 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duhok Erbil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erbil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duhok found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Duhok has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Erbil let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Duhok VS Erbil
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Duhok

(Home)
05 Nov
Al Mosul
0 : 1
Duhok
30 Oct
Al Karma
1 : 0
Duhok
23 Oct
Duhok
5 : 2
Karbala
17 Oct
Al Golan
2 : 0
Duhok
08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 6

Erbil

(Away)
08 Nov
Erbil
1 : 1
Al Gharraf
04 Nov
Erbil
6 : 0
Kazma SC
30 Oct
Erbil
1 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
28 Oct
Erbil
3 : 0
Al Ettifaq FC
22 Oct
Zakho
2 : 1
Erbil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)