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Duhok vs Karbala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Duhok host Karbala in the Stars League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Duhok at 1.34 goals for, 1.34 against; Karbala at 0.81 for, 1.93 against. Head-to-head, Duhok have won 3 to Karbala's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.00) point toward Duhok. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Duhok
20%
Draws
22%
Karbala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Duhok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Karbala haven't matched Duhok's recent run of results.
  • Duhok are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Duhok Clean Sheet 20%
Karbala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duhok Karbala
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 10 3
Draws 12 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.34 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Stars League
Duhok vs Karbala
2:1
Jan 7, 2025 Stars League
Karbala vs Duhok
0:3
May 9, 2024 Stars League
Karbala vs Duhok
1:1
Feb 23, 2024 Stars League
Duhok vs Karbala
2:1
Jun 29, 2023 Stars League
Duhok vs Karbala
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duhok 85 / 100
Karbala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duhok Karbala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duhok Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duhok's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Karbala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Duhok has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Duhok VS Karbala
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Duhok

(Home)
08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0
Al Zawraa
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Duhok
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 7

Karbala

(Away)
18 Sept
Karbala
0 : 3
Erbil
14 Sept
Al Naft
2 : 1
Karbala
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
04 Sept
Karbala
1 : 0
Al Karkh
30 Aug
Al Karma
2 : 0
Karbala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 9 5 3 1 15:6 18
3 Erbil 9 5 3 1 13:4 18
4 Al Shorta 9 4 4 1 9:4 16
5 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Duhok 9 2 6 1 14:11 12
8 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 9 2 5 2 14:12 11
9 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
10 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
11 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
12 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Talaba 9 1 5 3 9:14 8
15 Naft Missan 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
16 Al Mosul 9 2 2 5 9:15 8
17 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
18 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)