Sport Picks

Iraq

Stars League Duhok Stadium

Duhok

2 - 1

Naft Missan

Our Tip

Match Events

40'

Gueye Dieme D.

(Penalty)

48'

Gwargis P.

69'

Gwargis P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Duhok in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Duhok.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Duhok

33%

Draws

40%

Naft Missan

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Naft Missan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Naft Missan average 1.88 goals a game right now, well clear of Duhok's 1.75.
Naft Missan are the model's pick here, at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Duhok Clean Sheet 13%

Naft Missan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Duhok	Naft Missan
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	10	10
Draws	9	8
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	1.75	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Stars League

Duhok vs Naft Missan

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Nov 21, 2025 Stars League

Naft Missan vs Duhok

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

2:2

May 28, 2025 Stars League

Duhok vs Naft Missan

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Jan 20, 2025 Stars League

Naft Missan vs Duhok

Possession: 43% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Jul 14, 2024 Stars League

Duhok vs Naft Missan

Possession: 58% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duhok Compare

Top Goalscorer Gwargis P.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Naft Missan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duhok 27 / 100

Naft Missan 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Duhok Naft Missan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAF Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Naft Missan conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Duhok's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Duhok has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Duhok VS Naft Missan

1.75 Goals Scored 1.88

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63

100% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	38	27	8	3	62:28	89
2	Al Shorta	38	24	8	6	69:32	80
3	Erbil	38	23	10	5	59:32	79
4	Al Zawraa	38	17	15	6	50:32	66
5	Al-Karma	38	17	14	7	53:26	65
6	Al Talaba	38	18	11	9	53:38	65
7	Al Karkh	38	16	12	10	51:41	60
8	Newroz	38	16	6	16	48:47	54
9	Zakho	38	14	11	13	49:45	53
10	Duhok	38	13	11	14	44:45	50
11	Diyala	38	13	10	15	40:42	49
12	Al Naft	38	11	15	12	33:34	48
13	Al Mosul	38	11	14	13	46:49	47
14	Al Gharraf	38	11	11	16	40:43	44
15	Naft Missan	38	11	10	17	48:57	43
16	Al Minaa	38	9	13	16	38:47	40
17	Al Kahraba	37	11	5	21	44:56	38
18	Baghdad	38	10	7	21	47:68	37
19	Al Najaf	37	6	5	26	31:68	23
20	Al-Qassim	38	0	6	32	21:96	6