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Stadium Background

Duhok vs Naft Missan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026 Duhok Stadium, Duhok
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Gueye Dieme D.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Gwargis P.
69' Event
Gwargis P.

AI Match Summary

Duhok in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Duhok.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Duhok
35%
Draws
25%
Naft Missan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Duhok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Duhok have won more games recently than Naft Missan.
  • Duhok are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Duhok Clean Sheet 68%
Naft Missan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duhok Naft Missan
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 11 11
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Naft Missan
2:1
Nov 21, 2025 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Duhok
2:2
May 28, 2025 Stars League
Duhok vs Naft Missan
0:0
Jan 20, 2025 Stars League
Naft Missan vs Duhok
0:2
Jul 14, 2024 Stars League
Duhok vs Naft Missan
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duhok Compare

Top Goalscorer Gwargis P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Naft Missan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duhok 68 / 100
Naft Missan 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duhok Naft Missan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duhok Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duhok found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Naft Missan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Duhok has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Duhok VS Naft Missan
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Duhok

(Home)
08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0
Al Zawraa
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Duhok
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6

Naft Missan

(Away)
08 Oct
Naft Missan
1 : 1
Erbil
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Naft Missan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Naft Missan
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Newroz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)