Sport Picks
Duisburg vs Energie Cottbus
Germany
3. Liga 2025/2026 Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg 
Match Events
32'
32'
Topken T.
Assist: Kother D.
46'
46'
Sub
Biankadi M. In: Hannemann M.
Out: Biankadi M.
46'
46'
Sub
Bitter J. In: Hahn A.
Out: Bitter J.
AI Match Summary
The 3. Liga 2025/2026 game between Duisburg and Energie Cottbus finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Duisburg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
20%
24%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Duisburg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Duisburg carry the better recent record into this one.
- Duisburg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Duisburg Clean Sheet 16%
Energie Cottbus Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Duisburg | Energie Cottbus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Energie Cottbus
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 3. Liga
Energie Cottbus vs Duisburg
3:2
Apr 18, 2015 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Energie Cottbus
3:2
Oct 18, 2014 3. Liga
Energie Cottbus vs Duisburg
2:0
Mar 15, 2013 2. Bundesliga
Duisburg vs Energie Cottbus
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Duisburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Topken T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kother D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Energie Cottbus Compare
Top Goalscorer Engelhardt E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Duisburg 84 / 100
Energie Cottbus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Duisburg Energie Cottbus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Duisburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Duisburg's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Energie Cottbus has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Duisburg stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Duisburg VS Energie Cottbus
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Duisburg
(Home) 20 Sept
Wehen
1 : 4 Duisburg
15 Sept
Duisburg
2 : 1 TSV Havelse
12 Sept
Dusseldorf
2 : 1 Duisburg
05 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2 Duisburg
29 Aug
Duisburg
3 : 0 Wurzburger Kickers
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Duisburg
2 : 1 TSV Havelse
29 Aug
Duisburg
3 : 0 Wurzburger Kickers
22 Aug
Duisburg
1 : 3 Elversberg
08 Aug
Duisburg
3 : 0 Meppen
22 Jul
Duisburg
2 : 4 Beerschot VA
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Energie Cottbus
(Away) 20 Sept
Energie Cottbus
1 : 1 St. Pauli
13 Sept
Karlsruher
0 : 3 Energie Cottbus
05 Sept
Wolfsburg
4 : 4 Energie Cottbus
29 Aug
Energie Cottbus
3 : 4 Greuther Furth
22 Aug
Energie Cottbus
0 : 2 Augsburg
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Karlsruher
0 : 3 Energie Cottbus
05 Sept
Wolfsburg
4 : 4 Energie Cottbus
16 Aug
Arminia Bielefeld
3 : 0 Energie Cottbus
25 Jul
Dresden
2 : 1 Energie Cottbus
25 Jul
Dresden
1 : 2 Energie Cottbus
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 66:34 | 80 |
| 2 | Energie Cottbus | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 72:51 | 72 |
| 3 | RW Essen | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 78:66 | 70 |
| 4 | Duisburg | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 66:49 | 68 |
| 5 | Hansa Rostock | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 74:49 | 67 |
| 6 | Verl | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 82:48 | 64 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 76:57 | 64 |
| 8 | Munich 1860 | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 54:53 | 56 |
| 9 | Wehen | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 54:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Mannheim | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 59:72 | 52 |
| 11 | FC Viktoria Koln | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 51:53 | 51 |
| 12 | Ingolstadt | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 65:56 | 49 |
| 13 | Regensburg | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 54:58 | 49 |
| 14 | VfB Stuttgart II | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 57:69 | 46 |
| 15 | Saarbrucken | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 51:57 | 44 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim II | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 65:71 | 43 |
| 17 | TSV Havelse | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 57:89 | 35 |
| 18 | Aue | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 51:70 | 34 |
| 19 | Ulm | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 49:78 | 33 |
| 20 | 1. FC Schweinfurt | 38 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 38:87 | 21 |
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
