Sport Picks
Dumbarton vs Airdrieonians - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup Dumbarton Football Stadium, Dumbarton 
Match Events
39'
39'
MacDonald D.
53'
53'
Gilfedder A.
Assist: Webster K.
63'
63'
Gibson L.
Assist: Mebude D.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
15%
47%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Airdrieonians
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Airdrieonians's 1.46 goals per match outpaces what Dumbarton have produced (1.32).
- Airdrieonians are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Airdrieonians, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Airdrieonians here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dumbarton | Airdrieonians |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.29 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 Challenge Cup
Dumbarton vs Airdrieonians
1:3
Jan 18, 2025 Scottish Cup
Dumbarton vs Airdrieonians
1:5
Jul 20, 2024 League Cup
Dumbarton vs Airdrieonians
3:4
Jul 15, 2023 League Cup
Airdrieonians vs Dumbarton
2:0
Apr 16, 2022 League One
Airdrieonians vs Dumbarton
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dumbarton Compare
Top Goalscorer Gilfedder A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Airdrieonians Compare
Top Goalscorer MacDonald D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gibson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dumbarton 18 / 100
Airdrieonians 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dumbarton Airdrieonians
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Airdrieonians Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Dumbarton scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Airdrieonians conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
Dumbarton has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Dumbarton VS Airdrieonians
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Dumbarton
(Home) 03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1 Forfar Athletic
26 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2 Banks O' Dee
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2 Kilmarnock B
19 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 0 Spartans
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1 Dumbarton
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1 Forfar Athletic
26 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2 Banks O' Dee
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2 Kilmarnock B
19 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 0 Spartans
05 Sept
Dumbarton
2 : 1 Elgin City
Page 1 of 3
Airdrieonians
(Away) 03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 Montrose
26 Sept
Airdrieonians
7 : 1 Berwick
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6 Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2 Airdrieonians
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 Alloa
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6 Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2 Airdrieonians
05 Sept
Queen of the South
2 : 1 Airdrieonians
15 Aug
Hamilton
4 : 0 Airdrieonians
11 Aug
Dumbarton
1 : 3 Airdrieonians
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clydebank FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Ross County | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Airdrieonians | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Elgin City | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Peterhead | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 7 | Alloa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Queen of the South | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 11 |
| 9 | East Kilbride | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | 10 |
| 10 | Stirling | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 11 | Edinburgh City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 12 | St. Mirren B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 9 |
| 13 | Hamilton | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 14 | Montrose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 15 | Celtic B | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15:12 | 9 |
| 16 | Formartine Utd | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 17 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:13 | 9 |
| 18 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 19 | Hearts B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:26 | 9 |
| 20 | Annan | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 21 | Spartans | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 22 | Aberdeen B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 23 | East Fife | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 7 |
| 24 | Forfar Athletic | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 25 | Berwick | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 26 | Dumbarton | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Stranraer | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13:12 | 6 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 29 | Clachnacuddin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 4 |
| 30 | Kilmarnock B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 31 | Banks O' Dee | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | 4 |
| 32 | Fraserburgh | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:18 | 4 |
| 33 | Clyde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:14 | 3 |
| 34 | Dundee Utd B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 35 | Cumbernauld Colts | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:13 | 2 |
| 36 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:15 | 2 |
| 37 | Cowdenbeath | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | 0 |
| 38 | Dundee FC B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 0 |
| 39 | Hibernian B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | 0 |
| 40 | Motherwell B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:18 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)
