Sport Picks
Dumbarton vs Airdrieonians
Scotland
Challenge Cup Dumbarton Football Stadium, Dumbarton 
Match Events
39'
39'
MacDonald D.
53'
53'
Gilfedder A.
Assist: Webster K.
63'
63'
Gibson L.
Assist: Mebude D.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dumbarton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Dumbarton carry the better recent record into this one.
- Dumbarton are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Dumbarton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Airdrieonians, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Airdrieonians here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dumbarton | Airdrieonians |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 Challenge Cup
Dumbarton vs Airdrieonians
1:3
Jan 18, 2025 Scottish Cup
Dumbarton vs Airdrieonians
1:5
Jul 20, 2024 League Cup
Dumbarton vs Airdrieonians
3:4
Jul 15, 2023 League Cup
Airdrieonians vs Dumbarton
2:0
Apr 16, 2022 League One
Airdrieonians vs Dumbarton
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dumbarton Compare
Top Goalscorer Gilfedder A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Airdrieonians Compare
Top Goalscorer MacDonald D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gibson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dumbarton 40 / 100
Airdrieonians 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dumbarton Airdrieonians
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Airdrieonians's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.
Dumbarton found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Dumbarton has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Dumbarton VS Airdrieonians
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Dumbarton
(Home) 15 Aug
Dumbarton
0 : 3 Edinburgh City
11 Aug
Dumbarton
1 : 3 Airdrieonians
08 Aug
Dumbarton
1 : 0 Clyde
01 Aug
Stirling
2 : 0 Dumbarton
25 Jul
Dumbarton
2 : 0 Cove Rangers
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Dumbarton
0 : 3 Edinburgh City
11 Aug
Dumbarton
1 : 3 Airdrieonians
08 Aug
Dumbarton
1 : 0 Clyde
25 Jul
Dumbarton
2 : 0 Cove Rangers
11 Jul
Dumbarton
0 : 4 St. Mirren
Page 1 of 4
Airdrieonians
(Away) 15 Aug
Hamilton
4 : 0 Airdrieonians
11 Aug
Dumbarton
1 : 3 Airdrieonians
08 Aug
Airdrieonians
1 : 1 East Kilbride
01 Aug
Cove Rangers
0 : 0 Airdrieonians
25 Jul
Airdrieonians
0 : 3 Ross County
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Hamilton
4 : 0 Airdrieonians
11 Aug
Dumbarton
1 : 3 Airdrieonians
01 Aug
Cove Rangers
0 : 0 Airdrieonians
14 Jul
Clyde
1 : 0 Airdrieonians
11 Jul
Dundee FC
4 : 2 Airdrieonians
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clachnacuddin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Peterhead | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Rangers B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Queen of the South | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Clydebank FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 6 | St. Mirren B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Formartine Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Aberdeen B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 9 | East Kilbride | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 10 | Stirling | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 11 | Airdrieonians | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 12 | Celtic B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 13 | Edinburgh City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 14 | Montrose | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 15 | Hearts B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 16 | Kelty Hearts | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Ross County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 18 | Alloa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 19 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 20 | Spartans | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 21 | East Fife | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 22 | Motherwell B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 0 |
| 23 | Berwick | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 0 |
| 24 | Stranraer | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 25 | Elgin City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 26 | Annan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 27 | Kilmarnock B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 28 | Cove Rangers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 29 | Cowdenbeath | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 30 | Hamilton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 31 | Dumbarton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 32 | Fraserburgh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 | Dundee FC B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 34 | Clyde | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 35 | Forfar Athletic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 36 | Banks O' Dee | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 37 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 38 | Cumbernauld Colts | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 39 | Hibernian B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 40 | Dundee Utd B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)
