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Dumbarton vs Banks O' Dee

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Dumbarton Football Stadium, Dumbarton
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Challenge Cup. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Dumbarton at 1.3 goals for, 2.1 against; Banks O' Dee at 1.86 for, 1.79 against. Past meetings favor Dumbarton slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 28, 2023, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 2.25) point toward Dumbarton. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Dumbarton
30%
Draws
51%
Banks O' Dee
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Banks O' Dee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Banks O' Dee lately — more wins on the board than Dumbarton.
  • Banks O' Dee are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Banks O' Dee arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dumbarton, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%
Banks O' Dee Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dumbarton Banks O' Dee
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.3 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2023 Scottish Cup
Dumbarton vs Banks O' Dee
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dumbarton 10 / 100
Banks O' Dee 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dumbarton Banks O' Dee

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Banks O' Dee Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Dumbarton's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Banks O' Dee let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Dumbarton has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dumbarton VS Banks O' Dee
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Dumbarton

(Home)
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1
Dumbarton
08 Sept
Cove Rangers
6 : 1
Dumbarton
05 Sept
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Elgin City
29 Aug
Annan
2 : 0
Dumbarton
25 Aug
Dumbarton
2 : 2
Celtic B
Page 1 of 6

Banks O' Dee

(Away)
16 Sept
Banks O' Dee
4 : 1
Keith
12 Sept
Nairn County
2 : 2
Banks O' Dee
08 Sept
Banks O' Dee
1 : 1
Forfar Athletic
05 Sept
Rothes
0 : 5
Banks O' Dee
29 Aug
Banks O' Dee
6 : 3
Invergordon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Kilbride 3 3 0 0 11:5 9
2 Peterhead 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
3 Montrose 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
4 Stirling 3 3 0 0 10:5 9
5 Clydebank FC 3 2 1 0 9:3 7
6 Queen of the South 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
7 Aberdeen B 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
8 Alloa 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
9 East Fife 4 2 1 1 12:9 7
10 Celtic B 3 2 1 0 9:6 7
11 Edinburgh City 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
12 Elgin City 3 2 0 1 10:2 6
13 Cove Rangers 3 2 0 1 10:5 6
14 St. Mirren B 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
15 Ross County 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
16 Kelty Hearts 3 2 0 1 9:7 6
17 Hearts B 3 2 0 1 10:9 6
18 Airdrieonians 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
19 Bonnyrigg Rose 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
20 Annan 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
21 Spartans 3 1 1 1 7:6 4
22 Berwick 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
23 Kilmarnock B 3 1 1 1 6:7 4
24 Rangers B 3 1 0 2 7:5 3
25 Clachnacuddin 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
26 Formartine Utd 2 1 0 1 6:4 3
27 Stranraer 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
28 Hamilton 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
29 Dundee Utd B 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
30 Forfar Athletic 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
31 Dumbarton 3 0 1 2 4:11 1
32 Cumbernauld Colts 3 0 1 2 1:8 1
33 Banks O' Dee 3 0 1 2 2:10 1
34 Fraserburgh 3 0 1 2 1:10 1
35 Dundee FC B 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
36 Cowdenbeath 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
37 Hibernian B 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
38 Clyde 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
39 Motherwell B 4 0 0 4 4:15 0
40 Gala Fairydean Rovers 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)