Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dumbarton vs Celtic B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Dumbarton Football Stadium, Dumbarton
Tue, Aug 25, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Challenge Cup. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Dumbarton at 1.16 goals for, 1.87 against; Celtic B at 2.37 for, 1.93 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.31 - 2.75) back Celtic B to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Dumbarton
15%
Draws
58%
Celtic B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celtic B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celtic B lately — more wins on the board than Dumbarton.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Celtic B taking it.
  • Celtic B arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%
Celtic B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dumbarton Celtic B
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.16 2.37
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dumbarton 10 / 100
Celtic B 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dumbarton Celtic B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celtic B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Dumbarton found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Dumbarton remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dumbarton VS Celtic B
1 Goals Scored 2.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Dumbarton

(Home)
15 Aug
Dumbarton
0 : 3
Edinburgh City
11 Aug
Dumbarton
1 : 3
Airdrieonians
08 Aug
Dumbarton
1 : 0
Clyde
01 Aug
Stirling
2 : 0
Dumbarton
25 Jul
Dumbarton
2 : 0
Cove Rangers
Page 1 of 7

Celtic B

(Away)
15 Aug
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 5
Celtic B
12 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 3
Celtic B
08 Aug
Renfrew
3 : 5
Celtic B
01 Aug
Celtic B
1 : 1
Johnstone Burgh
28 Jul
Celtic B
6 : 1
Clydebank FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clachnacuddin 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Peterhead 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
3 Rangers B 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
4 Queen of the South 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
5 Clydebank FC 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
6 St. Mirren B 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
7 Formartine Utd 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
8 Aberdeen B 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
9 East Kilbride 1 1 0 0 5:3 3
10 Stirling 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
11 Airdrieonians 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
12 Celtic B 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
13 Edinburgh City 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
14 Montrose 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
15 Hearts B 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
16 Kelty Hearts 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
17 Ross County 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
18 Alloa 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
19 Bonnyrigg Rose 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
20 Spartans 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
21 East Fife 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
22 Motherwell B 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
23 Berwick 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
24 Stranraer 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
25 Elgin City 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
26 Annan 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
27 Kilmarnock B 1 0 0 1 3:5 0
28 Cove Rangers 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
29 Cowdenbeath 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
30 Hamilton 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
31 Dumbarton 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
32 Fraserburgh 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
33 Dundee FC B 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
34 Clyde 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
35 Forfar Athletic 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
36 Banks O' Dee 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
37 Gala Fairydean Rovers 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
38 Cumbernauld Colts 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
39 Hibernian B 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
40 Dundee Utd B 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)