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Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Two Dumbarton Football Stadium, Dumbarton
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Perrie L.
Assist: Arnott A.
27'
Lang T.
29'
Lynas A.

AI Match Summary

Dumbarton in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dumbarton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Dumbarton
15%
Draws
36%
Forfar Athletic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dumbarton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Forfar Athletic have won more games recently than Dumbarton.
  • Model gives Dumbarton a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Dumbarton Clean Sheet 15%
Forfar Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dumbarton Forfar Athletic
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.32 1.12
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 League Two
Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 League Two
Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic
2:2
Feb 7, 2026 League Two
Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 League Two
Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic
1:4
Sep 13, 2025 League Two
Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dumbarton Compare

Top Goalscorer Cleary R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hartington O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Forfar Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Perrie L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dumbarton 75 / 100
Forfar Athletic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dumbarton Forfar Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dumbarton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Dumbarton found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Forfar Athletic conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: Dumbarton stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dumbarton VS Forfar Athletic
1.88 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dumbarton

(Home)
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
26 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Banks O' Dee
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Kilmarnock B
19 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 0
Spartans
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1
Dumbarton
Page 1 of 6

Forfar Athletic

(Away)
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
29 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 0
Formartine Utd
26 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 1
Dundee Utd B
22 Sept
Forfar Athletic
0 : 2
Peterhead
19 Sept
Forfar Athletic
1 : 0
Annan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stranraer 9 5 2 2 17:8 17
2 Clyde 9 5 2 2 21:16 17
3 Elgin City 9 4 2 3 25:16 14
4 Spartans 9 3 3 3 19:17 12
5 Kelty Hearts 9 4 0 5 13:18 12
6 Dumbarton 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
7 Forfar Athletic 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
8 Edinburgh City 9 4 3 2 19:15 10
9 Annan 9 3 0 6 9:11 9
10 Stirling 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)