Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dumbarton vs Hearts B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Dumbarton Football Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Honeyman S.

AI Match Summary

Dumbarton in this Challenge Cup matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dumbarton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Dumbarton
39%
Draws
31%
Hearts B
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Hearts B have won more games recently than Dumbarton.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Challenge Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 36.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Dumbarton Clean Sheet 68%
Hearts B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dumbarton Hearts B
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1 3.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 3.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2025 Challenge Cup
Dumbarton vs Hearts B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dumbarton Compare

Top Goalscorer Honeyman S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Hearts B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dumbarton 41 / 100
Hearts B 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dumbarton Hearts B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hearts B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Dumbarton's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Hearts B's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Dumbarton VS Hearts B
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 3.8
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 60%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inverness660026:418
2Stenhousemuir660018:218
3Montrose651018:916
4East Fife641117:913
5Stranraer641112:613
6East Kilbride640213:1112
7Forfar Athletic640210:812
8Edinburgh City640211:1012
9Spartans632114:811
10Elgin City632111:911
11Dumbarton632110:811
12Annan631215:1010
13Alloa631217:1410
14Kelty Hearts63129:610
15Clyde631214:1210
16Queen of the South631212:1010
17Hamilton631213:89
18Stirling63039:99
19Cove Rangers62229:68
20Peterhead622210:108
21Celtic B620412:156
22Hearts B62049:146
23Hibernian B612311:145
24St. Mirren B61149:154
25Dundee Utd B61055:183
26Aberdeen B60159:201
27Motherwell B60152:171
28Rangers B60066:160
29Kilmarnock B60063:190
30Dundee FC B60064:210