Sport Picks
Dumbarton vs Kilmarnock B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup Dumbarton Football Stadium, Dumbarton 
Match Events
40'
40'
Foster L.
Assist: Bickerton C.
43'
43'
McIntosh L.
Penalty Missed
53'
53'
Lang D.
Assist: Honeyman S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dumbarton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Dumbarton have won more games recently than Kilmarnock B.
- Model gives Dumbarton a 64% chance of winning this.
- Dumbarton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Dumbarton, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%
Kilmarnock B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dumbarton | Kilmarnock B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 17 |
| Wins | 10 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.24 | 2.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.58 | 1.92 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 22, 2026 Challenge Cup
Dumbarton vs Kilmarnock B
3:2
Aug 16, 2023 Challenge Cup
Kilmarnock B vs Dumbarton
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dumbarton Compare
Top Goalscorer Lang D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sowa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.79
Kilmarnock B Compare
Top Goalscorer Foster L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dumbarton 65 / 100
Kilmarnock B 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dumbarton Kilmarnock B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dumbarton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kilmarnock B let in goals in 94% of their last 17 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Dumbarton scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Recent resilience: Dumbarton stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Dumbarton VS Kilmarnock B
1 Goals Scored 1.33
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.17
88% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Dumbarton
(Home) 03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1 Forfar Athletic
26 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2 Banks O' Dee
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2 Kilmarnock B
19 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 0 Spartans
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1 Dumbarton
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1 Forfar Athletic
26 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2 Banks O' Dee
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2 Kilmarnock B
19 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 0 Spartans
05 Sept
Dumbarton
2 : 1 Elgin City
Page 1 of 3
Kilmarnock B
(Away) 26 Sept
Hamilton
3 : 0 Kilmarnock B
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2 Kilmarnock B
08 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 2 Kilmarnock B
25 Aug
Cumbernauld Colts
1 : 1 Kilmarnock B
11 Aug
East Kilbride
5 : 3 Kilmarnock B
Page 1 of 4
26 Sept
Hamilton
3 : 0 Kilmarnock B
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2 Kilmarnock B
08 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 2 Kilmarnock B
25 Aug
Cumbernauld Colts
1 : 1 Kilmarnock B
11 Aug
East Kilbride
5 : 3 Kilmarnock B
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clydebank FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Ross County | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Airdrieonians | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Elgin City | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Peterhead | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 7 | Alloa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Queen of the South | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 11 |
| 9 | East Kilbride | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | 10 |
| 10 | Stirling | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 11 | Edinburgh City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 12 | St. Mirren B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 9 |
| 13 | Hamilton | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 14 | Montrose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 15 | Celtic B | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15:12 | 9 |
| 16 | Formartine Utd | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 17 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:13 | 9 |
| 18 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 19 | Hearts B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:26 | 9 |
| 20 | Annan | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 21 | Spartans | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 22 | Aberdeen B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 23 | East Fife | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 7 |
| 24 | Forfar Athletic | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 25 | Berwick | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 26 | Dumbarton | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Stranraer | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13:12 | 6 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 29 | Clachnacuddin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 4 |
| 30 | Kilmarnock B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 31 | Banks O' Dee | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | 4 |
| 32 | Fraserburgh | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:18 | 4 |
| 33 | Clyde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:14 | 3 |
| 34 | Dundee Utd B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 35 | Cumbernauld Colts | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:13 | 2 |
| 36 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:15 | 2 |
| 37 | Cowdenbeath | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | 0 |
| 38 | Dundee FC B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 0 |
| 39 | Hibernian B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | 0 |
| 40 | Motherwell B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:18 | 0 |
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