Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dumbarton vs Sauchie

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup 2021/2022 Dumbarton Football Stadium, Dumbarton
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Geggan A.
14'
Carroll D.
24' Event
Pignatiello C.
Assist: Duthie C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Dumbarton advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Dumbarton
15%
Draws
51%
Sauchie
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sauchie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sauchie haven't matched Dumbarton's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sauchie's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Dumbarton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dumbarton, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%
Sauchie Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dumbarton Sauchie
Matches Played 29 12
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 0
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.21 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2021 Scottish Cup
Dumbarton vs Sauchie
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dumbarton Compare

Top Goalscorer Pignatiello C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McKee J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Sauchie Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dumbarton 10 / 100
Sauchie 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dumbarton Sauchie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sauchie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sauchie let in goals in 83% of their last 12 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Dumbarton scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Sauchie lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dumbarton VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
3.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dumbarton

(Home)
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1
Dumbarton
08 Sept
Cove Rangers
6 : 1
Dumbarton
05 Sept
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Elgin City
29 Aug
Annan
2 : 0
Dumbarton
25 Aug
Dumbarton
2 : 2
Celtic B
Page 1 of 6

Sauchie

(Away)
25 Oct
Clachnacuddin
2 : 0
Sauchie
27 Sept
Inverurie Loco Works
0 : 2
Sauchie
26 Oct
Sauchie
0 : 2
Buckie Thistle
28 Sept
Strathspey Thistle
0 : 6
Sauchie
06 Apr
Boness United
1 : 0
Sauchie
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Partick -
TBD -
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Dunfermline -
Stenhousemuir -
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Huntly 3
Hill Of Beath 0
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Airdrieonians -
Queen's Park -
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Kilmarnock -
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Dundee Utd -
Alloa -
TBD -
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TBD -
East Stirlingshire 3
Fort William 0
Forres Mechanics 0
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Celtic -
Banks O' Dee 1
Turriff United 0
Nairn County 4
Strathspey Thistle 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
East Fife -
Falkirk -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raith -
Cowdenbeath -
TBD -
Golspie Sutherland 0
Civil Service Strollers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterhead -
Newtongrange Star 3
Dalbeattie Star 4
Blackburn United 1
Rothes 2
Coldstream 1
East Kilbride 10
Caledonian Braves 0
Stirling University 1
Dumbarton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fraserburgh 1
Sauchie 2
Clachnacuddin 1
Dunipace 2
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Dundee FC -
Clydebank FC 7
Dalkeith Thistle FC 0
TBD -
Elgin City -
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TBD -
TBD -
Clyde -
Wigtown & Bladnoch 0
St Cuthbert Wand. 8
Spartans 0
Gala Fairydean Rovers 1
Annan -
TBD -
Inverurie Loco Works 0
Jeanfield Swifts 3
Rangers -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Berwick 2
Gretna 2008 1
TBD -
Stirling -
Broomhill 6
Glasgow University 0
Penicuik 1
Tranent FC 3
Lossiemouth 0
Preston Athletic 3
Irvine Meadow 1
Auchinleck Talbot 3
TBD -
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Hamilton -
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Hearts -
Livingston -
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Ross County -
Ayr -
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Tynecastle 0
Brora Rangers 6
TBD -
Albion Rovers -
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TBD -
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TBD -
St. Mirren -
Kelty Hearts -
TBD -
Cumbernauld Colts 2
Buckie Thistle 5
TBD -
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TBD -
Montrose -
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St Johnstone -
Motherwell -
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Inverness -
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Morton -
Aberdeen -
TBD -
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Dunbar United 2
Camelon Juniors 0
Hutchison Vale 5
Edinburgh University 2
Edinburgh City -
TBD -
Wick Academy 3
Boness United 6
Arbroath -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Formartine Utd 7
Cumnock Juniors 3
TBD -
Forfar Athletic -
Brechin 5
Vale Of Leithen 0
Deveronvale 3
Haddington Athletic 4
Stranraer -
TBD -
Keith 1
Darvel FC 2
Hibernian -
TBD -
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Cove Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Queen of the South -
1/64-finals
Partick -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunfermline -
Stenhousemuir 4
Huntly 1
TBD -
Airdrieonians -
Queen's Park -
TBD -
TBD -
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Alloa -
TBD -
East Stirlingshire 0
Bonnyrigg Rose 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Celtic -
Banks O' Dee 5
Nairn County 0
TBD -
East Fife -
Falkirk -
TBD -
TBD -
Raith -
Cowdenbeath 2
Civil Service Strollers 4
TBD -
Peterhead -
Dalbeattie Star 1
Rothes 0
East Kilbride 4
Stirling University 0
Dumbarton -
TBD -
Sauchie 2
Dunipace 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Clydebank FC 3
Elgin City 2
TBD -
Clyde -
St Cuthbert Wand. 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers 3
Annan 3
Jeanfield Swifts 1
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Berwick 1
Stirling 2
Broomhill 0
Tranent FC 2
Preston Athletic 0
Auchinleck Talbot 2
TBD -
Hamilton -
TBD -
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TBD -
Hearts -
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
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Ross County -
Ayr -
TBD -
Brora Rangers 0
Albion Rovers 1
TBD -
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St. Mirren -
Kelty Hearts 4
Buckie Thistle 1
TBD -
Montrose -
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St Johnstone -
Motherwell -
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Inverness -
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Morton -
Aberdeen -
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Dunbar United 2
Hutchison Vale 3
Edinburgh City 2
Boness United 1
Arbroath -
TBD -
Formartine Utd 0
Forfar Athletic 2
Brechin 2
Haddington Athletic 1
Stranraer 0
Darvel FC 1
Hibernian -
TBD -
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TBD -
Cove Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen of the South -
1/32-finals
Partick 1
Dunfermline 0
Stenhousemuir 0
Airdrieonians 2
Queen's Park 0
Kilmarnock 1
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Alloa 5
Bonnyrigg Rose 0
TBD -
Celtic -
Banks O' Dee 2
East Fife 1
Falkirk 1
Raith 2
Civil Service Strollers 0
Peterhead 3
Dalbeattie Star 1
East Kilbride 2
Dumbarton 3
Sauchie 1
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Clydebank FC 2
Clyde 0
Gala Fairydean Rovers 0
Annan 1
Rangers -
TBD -
Stirling 4
Tranent FC 0
Auchinleck Talbot 1
Hamilton 0
TBD -
Hearts -
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
Ross County -
Ayr 2
Albion Rovers 1
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Kelty Hearts 2
Montrose 1
TBD -
St Johnstone -
Motherwell -
TBD -
Inverness 2
Morton 3
Aberdeen -
TBD -
Hutchison Vale 1
Edinburgh City 2
Arbroath 3
Forfar Athletic 0
Brechin 3
Darvel FC 4
Hibernian -
TBD -
Cove Rangers 5
Queen of the South 2
1/16-finals
Partick 1
Airdrieonians 0
Kilmarnock 1
Dundee Utd 2
Alloa 1
Celtic 2
Banks O' Dee 0
Raith 3
Peterhead 3
East Kilbride 2
Dumbarton 0
Dundee FC 1
Clydebank FC 3
Annan 4
Rangers 4
Stirling 0
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Hearts 5
Livingston 1
Ross County 0
Ayr 0
St. Mirren 2
Kelty Hearts 1
St Johnstone 0
Motherwell 2
Morton 1
Aberdeen 3
Edinburgh City 0
Arbroath 3
Darvel FC 0
Hibernian 1
Cove Rangers 0
1/8-finals
Partick 0
Dundee Utd 1
Celtic 4
Raith 0
Peterhead 0
Dundee FC 3
Annan 0
Rangers 3
Hearts 1
Livingston 0
St. Mirren 4
Kelty Hearts 0
Motherwell 2
Aberdeen 1
Arbroath 1
Hibernian 3
Quarter-finals
Dundee Utd 0
Celtic 3
Dundee FC 0
Rangers 3
Hearts 4
St. Mirren 2
Motherwell 1
Hibernian 2
Semi-finals
Celtic 1
Rangers 2
Hearts 2
Hibernian 1
Final
Rangers 2
Hearts 0