Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dumbarton vs Tayport FC

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup Dumbarton Football Stadium, Dumbarton
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Neill M.
Assist: Docherty D.
51' Event
Walker G.
Assist: Blair R.

AI Match Summary

Dumbarton in this Scottish Cup tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Dumbarton
33%
Draws
40%
Tayport FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Tayport FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Dumbarton have won more games recently than Tayport FC.
  • Tayport FC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Dumbarton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dumbarton, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Dumbarton Clean Sheet 20%
Tayport FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dumbarton Tayport FC
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 6 1
Draws 7 0
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Scottish Cup
Dumbarton vs Tayport FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dumbarton Compare

Top Goalscorer Neill M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Walker G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Tayport FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dumbarton 28 / 100
Tayport FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dumbarton Tayport FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tayport FC let in goals in 100% of their last 4 matches.

Dumbarton scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Tayport FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dumbarton VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dumbarton

(Home)
18 Jul
East Kilbride
5 : 3
Dumbarton
14 Jul
Dunfermline
4 : 1
Dumbarton
11 Jul
Dumbarton
0 : 4
St. Mirren
30 Jun
Ayr
3 : 0
Dumbarton
20 Jun
Linlithgow Rose
4 : 3
Dumbarton
Page 1 of 6

Tayport FC

(Away)
25 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 0
Tayport FC
27 Sept
Coldstream
2 : 3
Tayport FC
20 Jul
Tayport FC
1 : 4
Linlithgow Rose
23 Sept
Tayport FC
0 : 4
Buckie Thistle

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Clyde-
TBD-
TBD-
Annan-
Lossiemouth1
Formartine Utd2
Huntly1
Buckie Thistle3
Stranraer-
TBD-
Glenafton3
Invergordon2
Jeanfield Swifts0
Clydebank FC4
Newtongrange Star1
East Stirlingshire3
Boness Athletic2
Keith1
Linlithgow Rose2
Gala Fairydean Rovers1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Queen's Park-
Dumbarton-
TBD-
Coldstream2
Tayport FC3
Auchinleck Talbot2
Cumnock Juniors1
Carluke Rovers FC0
Gretna 20084
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Celtic-
Kilmarnock-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundee FC-
Airdrieonians-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hamilton-
East Fife-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Arbroath-
Livingston-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
St. Mirren-
Camelon Juniors2
Albion Rovers1
Johnstone Burgh4
Threave Rovers0
Edinburgh City-
TBD-
Stirling University6
Burntisland Shipyard2
Elgin City-
TBD-
Darvel FC1
Deveronvale3
Forres Mechanics0
Caledonian Braves2
TBD-
Stirling-
Musselburgh2
Bonnyton Thistle0
TBD-
Forfar Athletic-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Partick-
Wick Academy5
Rothes0
Cowdenbeath1
Benburb2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Montrose-
Dunfermline-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Queen of the South-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hibernian-
Kelty Hearts-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lochee United1
Brechin3
Civil Service Strollers2
Dundonald Bluebell3
St Johnstone-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cove Rangers-
Aberdeen-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Raith-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Alloa-
Motherwell-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Boness United0
Banks O' Dee3
Brora Rangers0
Fraserburgh1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ross County-
Stenhousemuir-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Clachnacuddin2
Kilwinning Rangers1
Inverurie Loco Works0
Sauchie2
Peterhead-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Morton-
Hearts-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Falkirk-
Ayr-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Berwick0
Nairn County2
Turriff United2
Hill Of Beath1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundee Utd-
Cumbernauld Colts4
Glasgow University0
Bonnyrigg Rose2
Broxburn Athletic1
Spartans-
TBD-
TBD-
East Kilbride-
Tranent FC3
Pollok0
Strathspey Thistle1
Dundee North End2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Inverness-
1/64-finals
Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Clyde2
Annan3
Formartine Utd0
Buckie Thistle2
Stranraer4
Glenafton0
Clydebank FC3
East Stirlingshire1
Boness Athletic0
Linlithgow Rose2
TBD-
Queen's Park-
Dumbarton2
Tayport FC0
Auchinleck Talbot3
Gretna 20081
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Celtic-
Kilmarnock-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundee FC-
Airdrieonians-
TBD-
TBD-
Hamilton-
East Fife-
TBD-
TBD-
Arbroath-
Livingston-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
St. Mirren-
Camelon Juniors1
Johnstone Burgh0
Edinburgh City1
Stirling University0
Elgin City2
Deveronvale1
Caledonian Braves3
Stirling4
Musselburgh1
Forfar Athletic2
TBD-
Partick-
Wick Academy1
Benburb2
TBD-
Montrose-
Dunfermline-
TBD-
TBD-
Queen of the South-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hibernian-
Kelty Hearts-
TBD-
Brechin3
Dundonald Bluebell1
St Johnstone-
TBD-
TBD-
Cove Rangers-
Aberdeen-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Raith-
TBD-
TBD-
Alloa-
Motherwell-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Banks O' Dee4
Fraserburgh0
TBD-
Ross County-
Stenhousemuir-
TBD-
Clachnacuddin2
Sauchie0
Peterhead-
TBD-
TBD-
Morton-
Hearts-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Falkirk-
Ayr-
TBD-
Nairn County1
Turriff United2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundee Utd-
Cumbernauld Colts0
Bonnyrigg Rose2
Spartans2
East Kilbride1
Tranent FC3
Dundee North End0
TBD-
Inverness-
1/32-finals
Rangers-
TBD-
Annan4
Buckie Thistle0
Stranraer2
Clydebank FC1
Linlithgow Rose1
Queen's Park3
Dumbarton0
Auchinleck Talbot4
TBD-
Celtic-
Kilmarnock-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundee FC-
Airdrieonians4
Hamilton0
East Fife0
Arbroath2
Livingston-
TBD-
TBD-
St. Mirren-
Camelon Juniors2
Edinburgh City1
Elgin City4
Stirling2
Forfar Athletic0
Partick2
Benburb0
Montrose3
Dunfermline2
Queen of the South1
TBD-
Hibernian-
Kelty Hearts2
Brechin0
St Johnstone1
Cove Rangers2
Aberdeen-
TBD-
Raith1
Alloa0
Motherwell-
TBD-
Banks O' Dee0
Ross County2
Stenhousemuir4
Clachnacuddin1
Peterhead2
Morton3
Hearts-
TBD-
TBD-
Falkirk-
Ayr3
Turriff United0
TBD-
Dundee Utd-
Bonnyrigg Rose1
Spartans2
Tranent FC1
Inverness2
1/16-finals
Rangers5
Annan0
Stranraer2
Queen's Park1
Auchinleck Talbot0
Celtic2
Kilmarnock1
Dundee FC2
Airdrieonians4
Arbroath3
Livingston1
St. Mirren2
Camelon Juniors1
Elgin City3
Partick3
Montrose1
Dunfermline1
Hibernian0
Kelty Hearts2
Cove Rangers1
Aberdeen1
Raith0
Motherwell1
Ross County0
Stenhousemuir4
Morton0
Hearts1
Falkirk2
Ayr0
Dundee Utd2
Spartans1
Inverness0
1/8-finals
Rangers8
Queen's Park0
Celtic2
Dundee FC1
Airdrieonians1
St. Mirren2
Elgin City2
Partick3
Dunfermline2
Kelty Hearts0
Aberdeen2
Motherwell0
Stenhousemuir0
Falkirk2
Dundee Utd2
Spartans1
Quarter-finals
Rangers0
Celtic1
St. Mirren2
Partick1
Dunfermline3
Aberdeen0
Falkirk2
Dundee Utd1
Semi-finals
Celtic6
St. Mirren2
Dunfermline1
Falkirk0
Final
Celtic3
Dunfermline1