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Dumiense vs CD Portosantense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Cardoso G.
(Penalty)
25' Event
Marques J.
26' Event
Ze Thiago

AI Match Summary

Dumiense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dumiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Dumiense
35%
Draws
40%
CD Portosantense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Portosantense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Dumiense have won more games recently than CD Portosantense.
  • Model gives CD Portosantense a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Dumiense Clean Sheet 19%
CD Portosantense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dumiense CD Portosantense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CD Portosantense vs Dumiense
1:2
Dec 10, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Dumiense vs CD Portosantense
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dumiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

CD Portosantense Compare

Top Goalscorer Ze Thiago
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fontes A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dumiense 20 / 100
CD Portosantense 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dumiense CD Portosantense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Portosantense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Dumiense found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

CD Portosantense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Dumiense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dumiense VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dumiense

(Home)
13 Apr
AD Limianos
2 : 2
Dumiense
06 Apr
Dumiense
1 : 5
Brito
29 Mar
Dumiense
3 : 2
Atletico Arcos
16 Mar
Tirsense
4 : 1
Dumiense
09 Mar
Dumiense
0 : 0
Pevidem
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CD Portosantense

(Away)
07 Apr
SC Mirandela
0 : 1
CD Portosantense
24 Mar
CD Portosantense
1 : 2
Dumiense
17 Mar
Os Sandinenses
0 : 1
CD Portosantense
09 Mar
CD Portosantense
1 : 1
SC Vila Real
03 Mar
Ribeirao
0 : 0
CD Portosantense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 26 12 9 5 35:27 45
2 Pevidem 26 11 11 4 31:22 44
3 Tirsense 26 12 7 7 37:24 43
4 Camacha 26 11 5 10 36:30 38
5 Brito 26 10 8 8 26:26 38
6 Dumiense 26 9 8 9 30:32 35
7 Os Sandinenses 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 8 11 7 24:22 35
9 Maritimo B 26 10 5 11 34:26 35
10 CDC Montalegre 26 8 10 8 25:31 34
11 Vilar de Perdizes 26 7 10 9 29:32 31
12 CD Portosantense 26 6 9 11 22:27 27
13 SC Mirandela 26 6 6 14 25:37 24
14 Ribeirao 26 5 8 13 19:37 20
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)