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Stadium Background

Dumiense vs Paredes

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Matheus Brito
74' Event
Miguel J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Paredes in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paredes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Dumiense
20%
Draws
56%
Paredes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paredes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paredes lately — more wins on the board than Dumiense.
  • Model gives Paredes a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Dumiense Clean Sheet 19%
Paredes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dumiense Paredes
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 8 18
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Dumiense vs Paredes
0:2
Aug 18, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Paredes vs Dumiense
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dumiense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Paredes Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Brito
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dumiense 10 / 100
Paredes 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dumiense Paredes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paredes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Dumiense's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dumiense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Paredes has conceded goals in 54% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Paredes
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dumiense

(Home)
13 Apr
AD Limianos
2 : 2
Dumiense
06 Apr
Dumiense
1 : 5
Brito
29 Mar
Dumiense
3 : 2
Atletico Arcos
16 Mar
Tirsense
4 : 1
Dumiense
09 Mar
Dumiense
0 : 0
Pevidem
Page 1 of 6

Paredes

(Away)
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
15 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
Paredes
07 Aug
Paredes
3 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
01 Aug
Paredes
4 : 2
Lusitania FC
22 Jul
AFS
2 : 4
Paredes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)