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Dumiense vs Rebordosa

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Grilo F.

AI Match Summary

Dumiense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dumiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Dumiense
30%
Draws
31%
Rebordosa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dumiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rebordosa lately — more wins on the board than Dumiense.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Dumiense Clean Sheet 18%
Rebordosa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dumiense Rebordosa
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 8 17
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Dumiense vs Rebordosa
1:0
Sep 1, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Rebordosa vs Dumiense
5:1
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Rebordosa vs Dumiense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dumiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Grilo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Rebordosa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dumiense 32 / 100
Rebordosa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dumiense Rebordosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rebordosa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dumiense's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Rebordosa let in goals in 69% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Dumiense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rebordosa
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dumiense

(Home)
13 Apr
AD Limianos
2 : 2
Dumiense
06 Apr
Dumiense
1 : 5
Brito
29 Mar
Dumiense
3 : 2
Atletico Arcos
16 Mar
Tirsense
4 : 1
Dumiense
09 Mar
Dumiense
0 : 0
Pevidem
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Rebordosa

(Away)
23 Aug
Chaves B
1 : 0
Rebordosa
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
31 May
SC Vianense
2 : 0
Rebordosa
22 May
Rebordosa
2 : 1
Leca
17 May
Rebordosa
1 : 1
GD Braganca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)