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Dumiense vs Ribeirao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Silva B.

AI Match Summary

Dumiense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dumiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Dumiense
35%
Draws
19%
Ribeirao
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dumiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Dumiense have won more games recently than Ribeirao.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Dumiense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Dumiense Clean Sheet 19%
Ribeirao Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dumiense Ribeirao
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.06 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Dumiense vs Ribeirao
1:0
Sep 17, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ribeirao vs Dumiense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dumiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Ribeirao Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dumiense 42 / 100
Ribeirao 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dumiense Ribeirao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dumiense's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ribeirao conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Dumiense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dumiense VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dumiense

(Home)
13 Apr
AD Limianos
2 : 2
Dumiense
06 Apr
Dumiense
1 : 5
Brito
29 Mar
Dumiense
3 : 2
Atletico Arcos
16 Mar
Tirsense
4 : 1
Dumiense
09 Mar
Dumiense
0 : 0
Pevidem
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Ribeirao

(Away)
07 Apr
Ribeirao
1 : 1
AD Limianos
24 Mar
Tirsense
3 : 0
Ribeirao
17 Mar
Ribeirao
0 : 1
CDC Montalegre
09 Mar
Brito
4 : 0
Ribeirao
03 Mar
Ribeirao
0 : 0
CD Portosantense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 26 12 9 5 35:27 45
2 Pevidem 26 11 11 4 31:22 44
3 Tirsense 26 12 7 7 37:24 43
4 Camacha 26 11 5 10 36:30 38
5 Brito 26 10 8 8 26:26 38
6 Dumiense 26 9 8 9 30:32 35
7 Os Sandinenses 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 8 11 7 24:22 35
9 Maritimo B 26 10 5 11 34:26 35
10 CDC Montalegre 26 8 10 8 25:31 34
11 Vilar de Perdizes 26 7 10 9 29:32 31
12 CD Portosantense 26 6 9 11 22:27 27
13 SC Mirandela 26 6 6 14 25:37 24
14 Ribeirao 26 5 8 13 19:37 20
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)