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Dumiense vs SC Vila Real - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Camara D.
53' Event
Campos L.
83'
Portela T.

AI Match Summary

SC Vila Real in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Vila Real.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Dumiense
35%
Draws
19%
SC Vila Real
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dumiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Vila Real have won more games recently than Dumiense.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Dumiense Clean Sheet 68%
SC Vila Real Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dumiense SC Vila Real
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 12
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Dumiense vs SC Vila Real
1:2
Oct 27, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Vila Real vs Dumiense
3:1
Feb 4, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Vila Real vs Dumiense
0:0
Oct 1, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Dumiense vs SC Vila Real
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dumiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Campos L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

SC Vila Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ndow E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dumiense 41 / 100
SC Vila Real 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dumiense SC Vila Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dumiense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dumiense found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

SC Vila Real has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Dumiense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SC Vila Real
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dumiense

(Home)
13 Apr
AD Limianos
2 : 2
Dumiense
06 Apr
Dumiense
1 : 5
Brito
29 Mar
Dumiense
3 : 2
Atletico Arcos
16 Mar
Tirsense
4 : 1
Dumiense
09 Mar
Dumiense
0 : 0
Pevidem
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SC Vila Real

(Away)
18 Apr
Leca
3 : 0
SC Vila Real
12 Apr
SC Vila Real
1 : 1
Vila Mea
04 Apr
SC Vila Real
2 : 2
Rebordosa
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)