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Stadium Background

Dunaharaszti MTK vs Csepel

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southeast 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Bata C.
30' Event
Giuliani M.
38' Event
Mucsi Z.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southeast 2025/2026 game between Dunaharaszti MTK and Csepel finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Csepel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Dunaharaszti MTK
20%
Draws
57%
Csepel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Csepel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Csepel come out ahead of Dunaharaszti MTK on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Csepel's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NB III - Southeast 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Dunaharaszti MTK Clean Sheet 10%
Csepel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunaharaszti MTK Csepel
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.64 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 NB III - Southeast
Dunaharaszti MTK vs Csepel
2:3
Oct 12, 2025 NB III - Southeast
Csepel vs Dunaharaszti MTK
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunaharaszti MTK Compare

Top Goalscorer Bata C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Csepel Compare

Top Goalscorer Giuliani M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunaharaszti MTK 10 / 100
Csepel 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunaharaszti MTK Csepel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Csepel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Dunaharaszti MTK scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Csepel conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Dunaharaszti MTK stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dunaharaszti MTK VS Csepel
1.88 Goals Scored 3.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunaharaszti MTK

(Home)
19 Sept
Dunaharaszti MTK
1 : 1
PTE-PEAC
13 Sept
Dunaharaszti MTK
1 : 5
Zalaegerszegi
06 Sept
MTK Budapest II
4 : 2
Dunaharaszti MTK
29 Aug
Dunaharaszti MTK
2 : 4
Kaposvar
26 Aug
Ivancsa
1 : 3
Dunaharaszti MTK
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Csepel

(Away)
20 Sept
Vasas II
6 : 0
Csepel
13 Sept
Villanyi
1 : 3
Csepel
05 Sept
Csepel
2 : 2
Bekescsaba 1912
29 Aug
Sandorfalvi
1 : 5
Csepel
26 Aug
Csepel
9 : 1
BKV Elore
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monori 30 20 7 3 63:31 67
2 ESMTK Budapest 30 21 3 6 70:24 66
3 Gyulai Termal 30 20 5 5 80:24 65
4 III. Keruleti TVE 30 18 7 5 71:38 61
5 Vasas II 30 14 11 5 65:40 53
6 Csepel 30 15 4 11 50:41 49
7 FC Dabas 30 12 6 12 47:41 42
8 Honved II 30 11 9 10 40:39 42
9 Dunaharaszti MTK 30 11 7 12 46:50 40
10 Hodmezovasarhely 30 10 7 13 48:56 37
11 Szegedi 30 10 5 15 46:62 35
12 BKV Elore 30 9 5 16 50:64 32
13 Szeged-Csanad GA II 30 7 8 15 37:53 29
14 Bekescsaba 1912 II 30 7 5 18 30:61 26
15 Martfui LSE 30 6 2 22 26:75 17
16 Tiszafoldvar 30 3 1 26 25:95 10
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)