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Dunaharaszti MTK vs Erdi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Erdesz A.
29' Event
Jonyer K.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest game between Dunaharaszti MTK and Erdi finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dunaharaszti MTK
20%
Draws
40%
Erdi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Dunaharaszti MTK haven't matched Erdi's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Dunaharaszti MTK Clean Sheet 10%
Erdi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunaharaszti MTK Erdi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.76 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Dunaharaszti MTK vs Erdi
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunaharaszti MTK Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonyer K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Erdi Compare

Top Goalscorer Erdesz A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunaharaszti MTK 30 / 100
Erdi 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunaharaszti MTK Erdi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Erdi conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Dunaharaszti MTK scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Dunaharaszti MTK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dunaharaszti MTK VS Erdi
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunaharaszti MTK

(Home)
03 Oct
Dunaharaszti MTK
2 : 1
Siofok
26 Sept
Budafoki MTE
2 : 4
Dunaharaszti MTK
19 Sept
Dunaharaszti MTK
1 : 1
PTE-PEAC
13 Sept
Dunaharaszti MTK
1 : 5
Zalaegerszegi
06 Sept
MTK Budapest II
4 : 2
Dunaharaszti MTK
Page 1 of 6

Erdi

(Away)
03 Oct
Erdi
3 : 1
Kaposvar
26 Sept
Ivancsa
4 : 1
Erdi
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Erdi
3 : 3
Ferencvaros II
30 Aug
Majosi
3 : 2
Erdi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 10 9 1 0 30:4 28
2 Kaposvar 9 5 1 3 23:14 16
3 Budafoki MTE 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
4 PTE-PEAC 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
5 Ivancsa 9 5 0 4 21:20 15
6 Ferencvaros II 9 4 3 2 19:13 15
7 Siofok 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
8 Majosi 9 4 2 3 18:18 14
9 Dunaharaszti MTK 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
10 MTK Budapest II 8 4 0 4 21:14 12
11 Erdi 9 3 3 3 21:21 12
12 Budaorsi SC 9 3 2 4 16:26 11
13 Paks II 10 1 3 6 19:23 6
14 Sarbogard 10 1 2 7 9:24 5
15 Szekszardi 9 0 0 9 4:38 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)