Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dunaharaszti MTK vs Kaposvar

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Hampuk A.
22' Event
Juhasz G.
30' Event
Bata C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Kaposvar in this NB III - Southwest matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kaposvar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Dunaharaszti MTK
20%
Draws
29%
Kaposvar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dunaharaszti MTK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Kaposvar have won more games recently than Dunaharaszti MTK.
  • Model gives Dunaharaszti MTK a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Dunaharaszti MTK Clean Sheet 10%
Kaposvar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunaharaszti MTK Kaposvar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 20
Draws 8 2
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.76 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Dunaharaszti MTK vs Kaposvar
2:4
May 18, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Dunaharaszti MTK
2:2
Nov 3, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Dunaharaszti MTK vs Kaposvar
1:1
Oct 26, 2010 Hungarian Cup
Dunaharaszti MTK vs Kaposvar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunaharaszti MTK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kaposvar Compare

Top Goalscorer Hampuk A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Juhasz G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunaharaszti MTK 40 / 100
Kaposvar 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunaharaszti MTK Kaposvar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Dunaharaszti MTK's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kaposvar conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Dunaharaszti MTK has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dunaharaszti MTK VS Kaposvar
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunaharaszti MTK

(Home)
03 Oct
Dunaharaszti MTK
2 : 1
Siofok
26 Sept
Budafoki MTE
2 : 4
Dunaharaszti MTK
19 Sept
Dunaharaszti MTK
1 : 1
PTE-PEAC
13 Sept
Dunaharaszti MTK
1 : 5
Zalaegerszegi
06 Sept
MTK Budapest II
4 : 2
Dunaharaszti MTK
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Kaposvar

(Away)
03 Oct
Erdi
3 : 1
Kaposvar
26 Sept
Kaposvar
2 : 2
Ferencvaros II
19 Sept
Majosi
4 : 1
Kaposvar
12 Sept
Hatvan FC
1 : 4
Kaposvar
05 Sept
Kaposvar
0 : 1
Pecsi MFC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 10 9 1 0 30:4 28
2 Kaposvar 9 5 1 3 23:14 16
3 Budafoki MTE 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
4 PTE-PEAC 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
5 Ivancsa 9 5 0 4 21:20 15
6 Ferencvaros II 9 4 3 2 19:13 15
7 Siofok 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
8 Majosi 9 4 2 3 18:18 14
9 Dunaharaszti MTK 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
10 MTK Budapest II 8 4 0 4 21:14 12
11 Erdi 9 3 3 3 21:21 12
12 Budaorsi SC 9 3 2 4 16:26 11
13 Paks II 10 1 3 6 19:23 6
14 Sarbogard 10 1 2 7 9:24 5
15 Szekszardi 9 0 0 9 4:38 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)