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Dunaharaszti MTK vs Sarreti

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dunaharaszti MTK play Sarreti in the Hungarian Cup 2023/2024. Dunaharaszti MTK are favorites here. Recently, Dunaharaszti MTK averaged 1.65 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. Sarreti averaged 0.33 goals scored and 4.33 conceded. In past meetings, Dunaharaszti MTK won 1, Sarreti won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 5, 2023 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Dunaharaszti MTK and 1.38 for Sarreti. This points to a Dunaharaszti MTK double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Dunaharaszti MTK
17%
Draws
14%
Sarreti
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Dunaharaszti MTK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dunaharaszti MTK picked up more points recently compared to Sarreti.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Dunaharaszti MTK Clean Sheet 17%
Sarreti Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunaharaszti MTK Sarreti
Matches Played 31 6
Wins 11 0
Draws 7 0
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.65 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.65 4.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2023 Hungarian Cup
Dunaharaszti MTK vs Sarreti
6:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunaharaszti MTK 66 / 100
Sarreti 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunaharaszti MTK Sarreti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunaharaszti MTK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Dunaharaszti MTK & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.64
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dunaharaszti MTK attacking → ← attacking Sarreti

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunaharaszti MTK scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Sarreti let in goals in 100% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Dunaharaszti MTK went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sarreti lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 0
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00