Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dunarea Giurgiu vs Steaua Bucuresti

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup
Wed, Aug 12, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Romanian Cup. This one's hard to separate. Steaua Bucuresti have shipped 2.25 goals a game lately, while Dunarea Giurgiu have conceded 0.33 and scored 1.67. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.96 vs 0.85, favoring Steaua Bucuresti. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Dunarea Giurgiu
15%
Draws
42%
Steaua Bucuresti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dunarea Giurgiu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / High Confidence
  • Steaua Bucuresti have won more games recently than Dunarea Giurgiu.
  • Dunarea Giurgiu are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Steaua Bucuresti arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Dunarea Giurgiu Clean Sheet 20%
Steaua Bucuresti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunarea Giurgiu Steaua Bucuresti
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 10 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.67 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.33 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.33 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunarea Giurgiu 49 / 100
Steaua Bucuresti 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunarea Giurgiu Steaua Bucuresti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Steaua Bucuresti has conceded goals in 88% of their last 34 outings.

Away concern: Steaua Bucuresti has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Dunarea Giurgiu found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Dunarea Giurgiu has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dunarea Giurgiu VS Steaua Bucuresti
1.67 Goals Scored 1.38
0.33 Goals Conceded 2.25
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunarea Giurgiu

(Home)
05 Aug
Dunarea Giurgiu
2 : 1
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
29 Jul
Dunarea Giurgiu
3 : 0
CSM Alexandria
28 Aug
Balotesti
3 : 0
Dunarea Giurgiu
02 Jun
Dunarea Giurgiu
0 : 1
FC Botosani
26 May
Braila
2 : 1
Dunarea Giurgiu
Page 1 of 6

Steaua Bucuresti

(Away)
02 Aug
Steaua Bucuresti
1 : 2
CSM Slatina
25 Jul
Steaua Bucuresti
1 : 0
Popesti Leordeni
18 Jul
Ramnicu Valcea
4 : 0
Steaua Bucuresti
15 Jul
Steaua Bucuresti
3 : 0
Tunari
11 Jul
Afumati
5 : 4
Steaua Bucuresti
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Progresul Mogosoaia 3
LPS HD Clinceni 0
Urban Titu 1
AS Vointa Crevedia 3
TBD -
TBD -
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Concordia -
Unirea Dej 1
Viitorul Cluj 2
TBD -
SCM Zalau -
TBD -
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Gloria Bistrita -
Paulesti 6
Blejoi 2
TBD -
Tunari -
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Stefanesti -
Hidro Mecanica Sugag 0
Metalurgistul Cugir 10
ACS Unirea DMO 0
Jiul Petrosani 4
Caransebes 2
Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii 1
TBD -
Minerul Lupeni -
Bihorul Beius 0
Baile Felix 1
Crisul Santandrei 2
Unirea Tasnad 1
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FC Bihor -
Petrolul Berca 5
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte 2
CSO Plopeni 1
Baicoi 2
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Metalul Buzau -
Chiesd 1
Sighetu Marmatiei 4
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Baia Mare -
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CSM Satu Mare -
Univ. Alba Iulia 3
Blaj 4
Inter Sibiu 0
ACS Medias 2
Sanatatea Cluj -
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Unirea Alba-Iulia -
FC U Craiova 0
CSO Filiasi 5
Curtisoara 1
Academica Bals 0
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CSM Slatina -
Dunarea Giurgiu 3
CSM Alexandria 0
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Cetatea Turnu Magurele -
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Steaua Bucuresti -
Timisul Sag 1
Progresul Pecica 0
Unirea Santana 4
Viitorul Arad 0
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CSM Resita -
Cetatea Suceava -
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Bradul Putna 9
Bucovina Radauti 0
ACS USV Iasi 1
Stiinta Miroslava 0
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti 1
Pausesti-Otasau 2
CSM Targu Jiu 3
Farcasesti 2
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Ramnicu Valcea -
CSM Corona Brasov 2
ARO Campulung 1
CSM Sacele 3
Kids Tampa Brasov 2
CS Domnesti 3
Unirea Bascov 2
TBD -
Olimpic Zarnesti -
CSM Ramnicu Sarat 0
Adjud 3
TBD -
Targu Secuiesc -
Victoria Traian 0
Unirea Branistea 7
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Sporting Liesti -
Gloria Baneasa 1
Calarasi 3
Recolta Gheorghe Doja 0
Inainte Modelu 6
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Afumati -
FC Pucioasa 1
Tricolorul Breaza 0
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Flacara Moreni -
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Chindia Targoviste -
Agigea 2
Axiopolis Cernavoda 3
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Agricola Borcea -
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Unirea Slobozia -
Bolintin Vale 3
Adunatii-Copaceni 2
Progresul Spartac 2
Progresul Fundulea 0
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Metaloglobus Bucharest -
Politehnica Timisoara -
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CSC Dumbravita -
Popesti Leordeni -
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CS Din. Bucuresti -
Selimbar -
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FC Hermannstadt -
VSK Gyergyo 1
Odorheiu 0
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Ceahlaul -
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FC ASA Tg. Mures -
Aerostar 3
CSM Vaslui 1
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Viitorul Onesti -
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FC Bacau -
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Quarter-finals
Progresul Mogosoaia 3
AS Vointa Crevedia 0
TBD -
Concordia -
Viitorul Cluj 1
SCM Zalau 6
TBD -
Gloria Bistrita -
Paulesti 0
Tunari 3
TBD -
Stefanesti -
Metalurgistul Cugir 0
Jiul Petrosani 1
Caransebes 0
Minerul Lupeni 1
Baile Felix 0
Crisul Santandrei 1
TBD -
FC Bihor -
Petrolul Berca 2
Baicoi 3
TBD -
Metalul Buzau -
Sighetu Marmatiei 1
Baia Mare 3
TBD -
CSM Satu Mare -
Blaj 2
ACS Medias 1
Sanatatea Cluj 3
Unirea Alba-Iulia 2
CSO Filiasi 3
Curtisoara 4
TBD -
CSM Slatina -
Dunarea Giurgiu 2
Cetatea Turnu Magurele 1
TBD -
Steaua Bucuresti -
Timisul Sag 3
Unirea Santana 2
TBD -
CSM Resita -
Cetatea Suceava -
TBD -
Bradul Putna 1
ACS USV Iasi 2
Pausesti-Otasau 0
CSM Targu Jiu 2
TBD -
Ramnicu Valcea -
CSM Corona Brasov 3
CSM Sacele 0
CS Domnesti 2
Olimpic Zarnesti 7
Adjud 2
Targu Secuiesc 1
Unirea Branistea 2
Sporting Liesti 4
Calarasi 2
Inainte Modelu 0
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Afumati -
FC Pucioasa 0
Flacara Moreni 7
TBD -
Chindia Targoviste -
Axiopolis Cernavoda 1
Agricola Borcea 3
TBD -
Unirea Slobozia -
Bolintin Vale 1
Progresul Spartac 3
TBD -
Metaloglobus Bucharest -
Politehnica Timisoara -
TBD -
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CSC Dumbravita -
Popesti Leordeni -
TBD -
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CS Din. Bucuresti -
Selimbar -
TBD -
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FC Hermannstadt -
VSK Gyergyo 5
Ceahlaul 0
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FC ASA Tg. Mures -
Aerostar 0
Viitorul Onesti 1
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FC Bacau -
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Semi-finals
Progresul Mogosoaia -
Concordia -
SCM Zalau -
Gloria Bistrita -
Tunari -
Stefanesti -
Jiul Petrosani -
Minerul Lupeni -
Crisul Santandrei -
FC Bihor -
Baicoi -
Metalul Buzau -
Baia Mare -
CSM Satu Mare -
Blaj -
Sanatatea Cluj -
Curtisoara -
CSM Slatina -
Dunarea Giurgiu -
Steaua Bucuresti -
Timisul Sag -
CSM Resita -
Cetatea Suceava -
ACS USV Iasi -
CSM Targu Jiu -
Ramnicu Valcea -
CSM Corona Brasov -
Olimpic Zarnesti -
Adjud -
Sporting Liesti -
Calarasi -
Afumati -
Flacara Moreni -
Chindia Targoviste -
Agricola Borcea -
Unirea Slobozia -
Progresul Spartac -
Metaloglobus Bucharest -
Politehnica Timisoara -
CSC Dumbravita -
Popesti Leordeni -
CS Din. Bucuresti -
Selimbar -
FC Hermannstadt -
VSK Gyergyo -
FC ASA Tg. Mures -
Viitorul Onesti -
FC Bacau -
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