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Dunaujvaros vs Kaposvar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Heil M.
27' Event
Racz B.

AI Match Summary

Kaposvar in this NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kaposvar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Dunaujvaros
15%
Draws
49%
Kaposvar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaposvar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Kaposvar have won more games recently than Dunaujvaros.
  • Win probability leans Kaposvar's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kaposvar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Dunaujvaros Clean Sheet 10%
Kaposvar Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunaujvaros Kaposvar
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 13 23
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.07 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Dunaujvaros vs Kaposvar
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Dunaujvaros
1:1
May 5, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Dunaujvaros
2:0
Oct 21, 2023 NB III - Southwest
Dunaujvaros vs Kaposvar
0:1
Aug 5, 2023 Hungarian Cup
Kaposvar vs Dunaujvaros
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunaujvaros Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Kaposvar Compare

Top Goalscorer Heil M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Racz B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunaujvaros 26 / 100
Kaposvar 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunaujvaros Kaposvar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaposvar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunaujvaros's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kaposvar let in goals in 72% of their last 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Kaposvar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dunaujvaros VS Kaposvar
0.5 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunaujvaros

(Home)
24 May
Dunaujvaros
2 : 3
Ferencvaros II
17 May
MTK Budapest II
2 : 0
Dunaujvaros
10 May
Pecsi MFC
2 : 0
Dunaujvaros
03 May
Dunaujvaros
3 : 1
Szekszardi
26 Apr
Majosi
7 : 2
Dunaujvaros
Page 1 of 6

Kaposvar

(Away)
03 Oct
Erdi
3 : 1
Kaposvar
26 Sept
Kaposvar
2 : 2
Ferencvaros II
19 Sept
Majosi
4 : 1
Kaposvar
12 Sept
Hatvan FC
1 : 4
Kaposvar
05 Sept
Kaposvar
0 : 1
Pecsi MFC
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)