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Dunav Prahovo vs Mesevo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - East 2023/2024 game between Dunav Prahovo and Mesevo finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mesevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Dunav Prahovo
15%
Draws
64%
Mesevo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mesevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Mesevo's 1.8 goals per match outpaces what Dunav Prahovo have produced (1.57).
  • Model gives Mesevo a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - East 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mesevo here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Dunav Prahovo Clean Sheet 13%
Mesevo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunav Prahovo Mesevo
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 16 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Dunav Prahovo vs Mesevo
2:3
Aug 19, 2023 Srpska Liga - East
Mesevo vs Dunav Prahovo
3:0
May 27, 2023 Srpska Liga - East
Dunav Prahovo vs Mesevo
4:0
Nov 5, 2022 Srpska Liga - East
Mesevo vs Dunav Prahovo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunav Prahovo 10 / 100
Mesevo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunav Prahovo Mesevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mesevo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mesevo let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Dunav Prahovo's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 42 recent games.

Dunav Prahovo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dunav Prahovo VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunav Prahovo

(Home)
14 Jun
Sindjelic
3 : 0
Dunav Prahovo
07 Jun
Dunav Prahovo
1 : 0
Jagodina
30 May
OFK Bor 1919
5 : 1
Dunav Prahovo
23 May
Dunav Prahovo
2 : 3
Vlasina
16 May
Djerdap
3 : 1
Dunav Prahovo
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Mesevo

(Away)
01 Jun
Mesevo
3 : 1
Timocanin
26 May
Buducnost Popovac
3 : 0
Mesevo
18 May
Mesevo
3 : 0
FK Zitoradja
11 May
Jedinstvo Krusevac
3 : 1
Mesevo
04 May
Mesevo
4 : 2
Jagodina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trayal Krusevac 30 30 0 0 84:16 90
2 Sindjelic 30 16 4 10 52:45 52
3 Mesevo 30 16 4 10 54:45 51
4 Jedinstvo Krusevac 30 15 5 10 37:28 50
5 Radnicki Pirot 30 16 2 12 61:43 50
6 Jagodina 30 14 6 10 49:37 48
7 SFS Borac 30 13 4 13 53:54 43
8 Dunav Prahovo 30 13 4 13 43:43 43
9 Djerdap 30 13 4 13 39:52 43
10 Paracin 30 12 5 13 42:50 41
11 Vlasina 30 11 6 13 51:44 39
12 Radnicki Svilajnac 30 12 3 15 62:51 39
13 Buducnost Popovac 30 10 8 12 51:53 38
14 Pcinja 30 9 2 19 45:64 25
15 Timocanin 30 6 3 21 45:64 16
16 FK Zitoradja 30 3 2 25 21:100 11
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