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Dunav Ruse II vs Chernolomets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2024/2025
Sun, Nov 24, 2024
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dunav Ruse II host Chernolomets in the Third League - North-East 2024/2025. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Dunav Ruse II at 1.29 goals for, 2.86 against; Chernolomets at 2.47 for, 1.27 against. Head-to-head, Dunav Ruse II have won 0 to Chernolomets's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 24, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 2.12) point toward Chernolomets. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Dunav Ruse II
15%
Draws
69%
Chernolomets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernolomets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chernolomets lately — more wins on the board than Dunav Ruse II.
  • Chernolomets are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Chernolomets have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Dunav Ruse II Clean Sheet 10%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunav Ruse II Chernolomets
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 2 18
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.29 2.47
Goals Conceded 2.86 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2024 Third League - North-East
Dunav Ruse II vs Chernolomets
0:0
Apr 13, 2024 Third League - North-East
Dunav Ruse II vs Chernolomets
0:4
Oct 1, 2023 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Dunav Ruse II
2:1
May 21, 2023 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Dunav Ruse II
7:0
Nov 12, 2022 Third League - North-East
Dunav Ruse II vs Chernolomets
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunav Ruse II 10 / 100
Chernolomets 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunav Ruse II Chernolomets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernolomets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Dunav Ruse II's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Chernolomets has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Dunav Ruse II has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chernolomets
0 Goals Scored 3.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunav Ruse II

(Home)
29 May
Dunav Ruse II
0 : 3
Spartak Varna II
25 May
Cherno More II
3 : 0
Dunav Ruse II
11 May
Svetkavitsa
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse II
01 May
Dorostol
2 : 0
Dunav Ruse II
28 Apr
Dunav Ruse II
6 : 0
Kubrat
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Chernolomets

(Away)
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1
Aksakovo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Septemvri Tervel 30 24 3 3 73:18 75
2 Chernolomets 30 22 3 5 69:25 69
3 Volov Shumen 30 21 3 6 66:26 66
4 Chernomorets Balchik 30 18 7 5 52:16 61
5 Ludogorets III 30 18 6 6 72:21 60
6 Cherno More II 30 14 7 9 42:31 49
7 Spartak Varna II 30 12 9 9 49:29 45
8 Aksakovo 30 12 6 12 50:48 42
9 Dorostol 30 11 7 12 36:36 40
10 Benkovski 30 11 6 13 55:46 39
11 FK Riltzi 30 7 10 13 47:54 31
12 Ustrem Donchevo 30 8 7 15 38:68 31
13 Svetkavitsa 30 6 6 18 31:66 24
14 Botev Novi Pazar 30 6 4 20 29:68 22
15 Fratria II 30 6 3 21 32:88 21
16 Kubrat 30 0 1 29 11:112 1
17 Dunav Ruse II 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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