Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Clarke J.
Assist: Doherty B.
35'
35'
Wilson T.
Assist: McDaid D.
37'
37'
O'Reilly A.
AI Match Summary
The Premier Division game between Dundalk and Derry City finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Derry City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Dundalk carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Derry City a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Dundalk Clean Sheet 10%
Derry City Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dundalk | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 13 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 FAI Cup
Derry City vs Dundalk
4:2
May 29, 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Derry City
2:1
Apr 10, 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Derry City
2:2
Feb 13, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Dundalk
2:2
Oct 18, 2024 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Derry City
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dundalk Compare
Top Goalscorer Wilson T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Teahan R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Derry City Compare
Top Goalscorer Clarke J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Akinyemi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dundalk 14 / 100
Derry City 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dundalk Derry City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Derry City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dundalk found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Derry City has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.
Recent resilience: Dundalk stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Dundalk VS Derry City
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Dundalk
(Home) 18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3 Shelbourne
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4 St. Patricks
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1 Dundalk
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2 Dundalk
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3 Dundalk
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3 Shelbourne
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4 St. Patricks
21 Aug
Dundalk
1 : 2 Galway United
15 Aug
Dundalk
8 : 0 Castlebar Celtic
31 Jul
Dundalk
1 : 1 Sligo Rovers
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Derry City
(Away) 18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0 Galway United
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2 Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1 Derry City
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2 Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3 Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 7
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2 Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1 Derry City
21 Aug
Bohemians
5 : 3 Derry City
14 Aug
UC Dublin
1 : 2 Derry City
02 Aug
St. Patricks
1 : 1 Derry City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Patricks | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52:25 | 59 |
| 2 | Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49:31 | 59 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 55:37 | 56 |
| 4 | Derry City | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45:42 | 41 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 49:53 | 41 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 42:45 | 40 |
| 7 | Galway United | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 42:48 | 38 |
| 8 | Waterford | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44:54 | 34 |
| 9 | Drogheda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38:51 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24:54 | 23 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)
