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Dundalk vs Sporting Fingal

Ireland Ireland

League Cup 2010 Oriel Park, Dundalk
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Dundalk advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Dundalk
20%
Draws
74%
Sporting Fingal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting Fingal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting Fingal come out ahead of Dundalk on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sporting Fingal a 74% chance of winning this.
  • Sporting Fingal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sporting Fingal, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Sporting Fingal have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Dundalk Clean Sheet 21%
Sporting Fingal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dundalk Sporting Fingal
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.61 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2010 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Sporting Fingal
0:2
Aug 13, 2010 Premier Division
Sporting Fingal vs Dundalk
1:0
Jun 8, 2010 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Sporting Fingal
1:2
May 10, 2010 League Cup
Dundalk vs Sporting Fingal
2:0
Apr 16, 2010 Premier Division
Sporting Fingal vs Dundalk
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundalk 10 / 100
Sporting Fingal 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dundalk Sporting Fingal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Fingal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dundalk's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Sporting Fingal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Dundalk stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dundalk VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dundalk

(Home)
02 Oct
Dundalk
1 : 2
Bohemians
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3
Shelbourne
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4
St. Patricks
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1
Dundalk
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
Page 1 of 7

Sporting Fingal

(Away)
29 Oct
Sporting Fingal
4 : 1
UC Dublin
22 Oct
Dundalk
0 : 2
Sporting Fingal
15 Oct
Sporting Fingal
3 : 1
Galway United
09 Oct
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 2
Sporting Fingal
02 Oct
Sporting Fingal
2 : 2
St. Patricks
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mervue United -
TBD -
TBD -
Letterkenny Rovers -
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Patricks -
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Galway United -
Castlebar Celtic 1
Salthill 0
TBD -
Finn Harps -
UC Dublin -
TBD -
Longford 0
Athlone 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Fingal -
Tralee -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Limerick -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Bohemians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tullamore 3
Carlow 2
Shelbourne 0
Monaghan United 1
1/16-finals
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
Mervue United 0
Letterkenny Rovers 1
Bray 3
Drogheda 1
TBD -
St. Patricks -
Derry City 3
Galway United 2
Castlebar Celtic 1
Finn Harps 3
UC Dublin 1
Athlone 0
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Fingal -
Tralee -
TBD -
Kerry 0
Waterford 2
Limerick 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Wexford 0
Cork City 3
Bohemians -
TBD -
Tullamore 1
Monaghan United 6
1/8-finals
Sligo Rovers 6
Letterkenny Rovers 0
Bray 0
St. Patricks 2
Derry City 2
Finn Harps 0
UC Dublin 0
Shamrock Rovers 1
Dundalk 2
Sporting Fingal 0
Tralee 0
Waterford 9
Limerick 3
Cork City 0
Bohemians 1
Monaghan United 2
Quarter-finals
Sligo Rovers 4
St. Patricks 1
Derry City 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Dundalk 2
Waterford 1
Limerick 0
Monaghan United 3
Semi-finals
Sligo Rovers 2
Shamrock Rovers 1
Dundalk 0
Monaghan United 1
Final
Sligo Rovers 1
Monaghan United 0