Sport Picks
Dundalk vs St Mochta's - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ireland
FAI Cup 2021 Oriel Park, Dundalk 
Match Events
8'
8'
Ben Amar S.
12'
12'
McCaffrey G.
29'
29'
Sub
Zahibo W. In: Sloggett G.
Out: Zahibo W.
AI Match Summary
Dundalk in this FAI Cup 2021 tie, finishing 5-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St Mochta's
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Dundalk lately — more wins on the board than St Mochta's.
- Model gives St Mochta's a 73% chance of winning this.
- Dundalk have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Dundalk, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Dundalk Clean Sheet 20%
St Mochta's Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dundalk | St Mochta's |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 18 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.91 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.56 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 17, 2026 FAI Cup
St Mochta's vs Dundalk
1:3
Aug 27, 2021 FAI Cup
Dundalk vs St Mochta's
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dundalk Compare
Top Goalscorer Hoban P.
3 Goals Assists Leader Ben Amar S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
St Mochta's Compare
Top Goalscorer McCaffrey G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dundalk 28 / 100
St Mochta's 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dundalk St Mochta's
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St Mochta's Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dundalk's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
St Mochta's let in goals in 89% of their last 18 matches.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Away concern: St Mochta's has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Dundalk VS St Mochta's
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Dundalk
(Home) 02 Oct
Dundalk
1 : 2 Bohemians
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3 Shelbourne
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4 St. Patricks
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1 Dundalk
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2 Dundalk
Page 1 of 7
02 Oct
Dundalk
1 : 2 Bohemians
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3 Shelbourne
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4 St. Patricks
21 Aug
Dundalk
1 : 2 Galway United
15 Aug
Dundalk
8 : 0 Castlebar Celtic
Page 1 of 4
St Mochta's
(Away) 17 Jul
St Mochta's
1 : 3 Dundalk
15 May
Wayside Celtic
3 : 4 St Mochta's
18 Jul
Waterford
5 : 1 St Mochta's
17 May
St Mochta's
4 : 0 Douglas Hall
08 Oct
St. Patricks
2 : 1 St Mochta's
Page 1 of 4
15 May
Wayside Celtic
3 : 4 St Mochta's
18 Jul
Waterford
5 : 1 St Mochta's
08 Oct
St. Patricks
2 : 1 St Mochta's
27 Aug
Dundalk
5 : 1 St Mochta's
25 Jul
Crumlin Utd
1 : 2 St Mochta's
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Sligo Rovers 2
Cork City 3
St. Patricks 6
Bray 0
Killester Donnycarney 1
Usher Celtic 0
Wexford 3
Cabinteely 0
Fairview Rangers 0
Finn Harps 3
Drogheda 1
Derry City 2
Treaty United 0
Dundalk 1
Crumlin Utd 1
St Mochta's 2
College Corinthians 0
Bohemians 5
Shamrock Rovers 2
Galway United 0
Maynooth University 4
Malahide United 0
Liffey Wanderers 0
Cobh Ramblers 2
UC Dublin 2
Shelbourne 0
Bangor Celtic 0
Longford 5
Athlone 4
Waterford 5
St. Kevins Boys 1
Kilnamanagh 4
1/8-finals
Cork City 1
St. Patricks 2
Killester Donnycarney 0
Wexford 2
Finn Harps 1
Derry City 0
Dundalk 5
St Mochta's 1
Bohemians 2
Shamrock Rovers 1
Maynooth University 3
Cobh Ramblers 2
UC Dublin 2
Longford 1
Waterford 4
Kilnamanagh 1
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 3
Wexford 0
Finn Harps 4
Dundalk 6
Bohemians 4
Maynooth University 0
UC Dublin 2
Waterford 3
Semi-finals
St. Patricks 3
Dundalk 1
Bohemians 1
Waterford 0
Final
St. Patricks 2
Bohemians 1
