Sport Picks
Dundalk vs St. Patricks
Ireland
Premier Division Oriel Park, Dundalk 
AI Match Summary
Dundalk host St. Patricks in the Premier Division. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. St. Patricks have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while Dundalk have conceded 1.45 and scored 1.79. Head-to-head, Dundalk have won 2 to St. Patricks's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 24, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.56, favoring St. Patricks. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and St. Patricks come out ahead of Dundalk on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Dundalk's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dundalk | St. Patricks |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dundalk scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Defensive concern: St. Patricks conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Dundalk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Dundalk
(Home)St. Patricks
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 43:24 | 54 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45:23 | 50 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 47:34 | 47 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 43:43 | 37 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 36:38 | 34 |
| 6 | Derry City | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 38:37 | 33 |
| 7 | Galway United | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 35:41 | 33 |
| 8 | Waterford | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 37:48 | 29 |
| 9 | Drogheda | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | 28 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23:45 | 23 |
