Sport Picks

Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 Dens Park

Dundee FC

3 - 2

Aberdeen

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Wright D.

Assist: Reilly C.

14'

Sub

Knoester M. In: Devlin N.

Out: Knoester M.

23'

Morrison L.

Assist: Cameron L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiership 2025/2026 game between Dundee FC and Aberdeen finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dundee FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Dundee FC

11%

Draws

Aberdeen

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Dundee FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Dundee FC come out ahead of Aberdeen on wins alone.
Dundee FC are the model's pick here, at 80%.
Regular Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Dundee FC Clean Sheet 15%

Aberdeen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dundee FC	Aberdeen
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	12	9
Draws	6	3
Losses	10	17
Goals Scored	1.88	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premiership

Dundee FC vs Aberdeen

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

3:2

Feb 21, 2026 Premiership

Aberdeen vs Dundee FC

Possession: 40% - 45% Cards: 0 - 2

2:3

Dec 6, 2025 Premiership

Dundee FC vs Aberdeen

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 0 - 0

1:3

Oct 5, 2025 Premiership

Aberdeen vs Dundee FC

Possession: 50% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

4:0

Feb 15, 2025 Premiership

Dundee FC vs Aberdeen

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 3 - 4

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dundee FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Wright D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Westley J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Aberdeen Compare

Top Goalscorer Morrison L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Olusanya T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundee FC 75 / 100

Aberdeen 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dundee FC Aberdeen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUF Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Dundee FC scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Aberdeen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Dundee FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dundee FC VS Aberdeen

1.88 Goals Scored 1.5

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
7	Dundee Utd	38	10	15	13	49:60	45
8	Dundee FC	38	11	9	18	42:61	42
9	Aberdeen	38	11	7	20	40:55	40
10	Kilmarnock	38	10	10	18	50:68	40
11	St. Mirren	38	8	10	20	30:55	34
12	Livingston	38	2	15	21	40:75	21