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Dundee FC vs Airdrieonians

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Dens Park, Dundee
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Sharp H.
Own Goal
31' Event
Reilly C.
Assist: Hamilton E.
45' Event
Fisher S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-2. This leg finished 4-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Dundee FC
15%
Draws
58%
Airdrieonians
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Airdrieonians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dundee FC lately — more wins on the board than Airdrieonians.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Airdrieonians taking it.
  • Dundee FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dundee FC, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Dundee FC Clean Sheet 20%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dundee FC Airdrieonians
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.67 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 League Cup
Dundee FC vs Airdrieonians
4:2
Jul 12, 2025 League Cup
Dundee FC vs Airdrieonians
0:1
Feb 8, 2025 Scottish Cup
Dundee FC vs Airdrieonians
4:0
Aug 17, 2024 League Cup
Dundee FC vs Airdrieonians
6:1
Jul 22, 2023 League Cup
Airdrieonians vs Dundee FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dundee FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Reilly C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hamilton E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

Airdrieonians Compare

Top Goalscorer Fisher S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundee FC 10 / 100
Airdrieonians 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dundee FC Airdrieonians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Airdrieonians Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dundee FC found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Airdrieonians conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Dundee FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dundee FC VS Airdrieonians
1.29 Goals Scored 1
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dundee FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Dundee FC
2 : 1
Motherwell
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
02 Sept
Dundee FC
1 : 1
St Johnstone
30 Aug
Dundee FC
1 : 2
Hibernian
22 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 2
Dundee FC
Page 1 of 6

Airdrieonians

(Away)
26 Sept
Airdrieonians
7 : 1
Berwick
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6
Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2
Airdrieonians
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
08 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
St. Mirren B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 Queen's Park 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Kelty Hearts 4 2 0 2 4:8 5
4 Queen of the South 4 1 0 3 6:8 4
5 Brora Rangers 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dundee Utd 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
2 Montrose 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
3 Arbroath 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Stirling 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Spartans 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Mirren 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Dunfermline 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 East Kilbride 4 2 0 2 13:10 6
4 Dumbarton 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
5 Cove Rangers 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 4 4 0 0 11:3 11
2 Dundee FC 4 3 0 1 14:3 10
3 Clyde 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
4 Airdrieonians 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
5 Annan 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 4 4 0 0 6:3 10
2 Partick 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
3 Livingston 4 2 0 2 11:1 8
4 Forfar Athletic 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Brechin 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 4 4 0 0 5:1 11
2 East Fife 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 St Johnstone 4 2 0 2 6:2 7
4 Linlithgow Rose 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Morton 4 0 0 4 0:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ayr 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
2 Falkirk 4 2 0 2 9:2 7
3 Edinburgh City 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
4 Alloa 4 2 0 2 4:9 4
5 Stranraer 4 0 0 4 4:10 1
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilmarnock 4 3 0 1 2:0 9
2 Hamilton 4 3 0 1 7:2 8
3 Raith 4 2 0 2 5:2 8
4 Peterhead 4 2 0 2 3:3 5
5 Elgin City 4 0 0 4 2:12 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams