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Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Tannadice Park, Dundee
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dundee Utd host Aberdeen in the Premiership. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Dundee Utd at 1.41 goals for, 1.45 against; Aberdeen at 1.53 for, 1.28 against. Past meetings favor Dundee Utd slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.63, favoring Aberdeen. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Dundee Utd
30%
Draws
43%
Aberdeen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aberdeen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aberdeen lately — more wins on the board than Dundee Utd.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Aberdeen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Dundee Utd Clean Sheet 14%
Aberdeen Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dundee Utd Aberdeen
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd
2:0
Feb 24, 2026 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen
0:0
Dec 27, 2025 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd
1:1
Sep 23, 2025 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen
2:0
May 17, 2025 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundee Utd 23 / 100
Aberdeen 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dundee Utd Aberdeen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberdeen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dundee Utd scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Aberdeen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Dundee Utd has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dundee Utd VS Aberdeen
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dundee Utd

(Home)
19 Sept
St. Mirren
0 : 3
Dundee Utd
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
02 Sept
Motherwell
3 : 0
Dundee Utd
29 Aug
Kilmarnock
0 : 4
Dundee Utd
22 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 2
Dundee FC
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Aberdeen

(Away)
03 Oct
Dunfermline
1 : 4
Aberdeen
19 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 1
Aberdeen
15 Sept
Motherwell
0 : 4
Aberdeen
12 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 2
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 7 6 0 1 14:4 18
2 Rangers 7 5 1 1 8:4 16
3 Hearts 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Dundee FC 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
5 St. Mirren 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
6 St Johnstone 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
8 Dundee Utd 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
9 Motherwell 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
10 Hibernian 7 2 1 4 8:11 7
11 Falkirk 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
12 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)