Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dundee Utd vs Livingston

Scotland Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 Tannadice Park, Dundee
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
Fatah A. In: Farrugia N.
Out: Fatah A.
19' Event
Ferry W.
Assist: Watters M.
49' Event
Smith L.
Assist: Nouble J.

AI Match Summary

The Premiership 2025/2026 game between Dundee Utd and Livingston finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dundee Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Dundee Utd
15%
Draws
39%
Livingston
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dundee Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Dundee Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Livingston's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dundee Utd Clean Sheet 15%
Livingston Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dundee Utd Livingston
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs Livingston
0:0
Apr 11, 2026 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs Livingston
3:2
Dec 30, 2025 Premiership
Livingston vs Dundee Utd
1:3
Oct 4, 2025 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs Livingston
1:1
May 20, 2023 Premiership
Livingston vs Dundee Utd
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dundee Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferry W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keresztes K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Livingston Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundee Utd 23 / 100
Livingston 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dundee Utd Livingston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dundee Utd found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Livingston conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Dundee Utd went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dundee Utd VS Livingston
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dundee Utd

(Home)
09 Aug
Hearts
4 : 0
Dundee Utd
31 Jul
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Rangers
25 Jul
Salford
3 : 2
Dundee Utd
21 Jul
Dundee Utd
4 : 0
Spartans
18 Jul
Dundee Utd
3 : 0
Arbroath
Page 1 of 6

Livingston

(Away)
07 Aug
Partick
2 : 0
Livingston
01 Aug
Livingston
2 : 0
Queen's Park
25 Jul
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Livingston
21 Jul
Livingston
8 : 0
Forfar Athletic
18 Jul
Livingston
1 : 2
Partick
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hearts 33 21 7 5 58:28 70
2 Rangers 33 19 12 2 66:31 69
3 Celtic 33 21 4 8 59:35 67
4 Motherwell 33 14 12 7 52:29 54
5 Hibernian 33 13 12 8 51:37 51
6 Falkirk 33 13 7 13 45:48 46
7 Dundee Utd 33 9 13 11 45:54 40
8 Aberdeen 33 9 6 18 33:48 33
9 Dundee FC 33 8 9 16 34:53 33
10 St. Mirren 33 7 9 17 27:48 30
11 Kilmarnock 33 6 10 17 37:65 28
12 Livingston 33 1 13 19 35:66 16
Promotion - Premiership 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)