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Dundela vs Ballinamallard - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship 2025/2026 game between Dundela and Ballinamallard finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ballinamallard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Dundela
35%
Draws
32%
Ballinamallard
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ballinamallard come out ahead of Dundela on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Dundela Clean Sheet 10%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dundela Ballinamallard
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 6
Draws 13 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.41 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Dundela
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Dundela
2:2
Feb 14, 2026 NIFL Championship
Dundela vs Ballinamallard
1:4
Nov 8, 2025 NIFL Championship
Dundela vs Ballinamallard
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Dundela
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundela 30 / 100
Ballinamallard 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dundela Ballinamallard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballinamallard has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Dundela's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Dundela stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dundela VS Ballinamallard
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dundela

(Home)
03 Oct
Dundela
0 : 2
Queens University
26 Sept
Armagh
0 : 2
Dundela
18 Sept
Dundela
1 : 1
Strabane Athletic
12 Sept
Newington FC
5 : 5
Dundela
05 Sept
Dundela
3 : 2
Glenavon
Page 1 of 6

Ballinamallard

(Away)
03 Oct
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Ards
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0
Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Limavady 33 21 8 4 61:32 71
2 Annagh 33 22 5 6 54:27 71
3 Harland & Wolff 33 17 8 8 77:41 59
4 Newington FC 33 15 6 12 69:52 51
5 Loughgall 33 13 12 8 46:34 51
6 Queens University 33 12 11 10 43:42 47
7 Institute 33 13 7 13 47:43 46
8 Ards 33 12 7 14 50:46 43
9 Warrenpoint 33 10 6 17 44:50 36
10 Ballinamallard 33 8 10 15 36:52 34
11 Dundela 33 3 11 19 37:73 20
12 Armagh 33 4 5 24 28:100 17
Promotion - NIFL Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)