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Stadium Background

Duneberg vs ETSV Hamburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Muhlack T.
14' Event
Parduhn F.
21' Event
Parduhn F.

AI Match Summary

ETSV Hamburg in this Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored ETSV Hamburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Duneberg
15%
Draws
73%
ETSV Hamburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ETSV Hamburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • ETSV Hamburg have won more games recently than Duneberg.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on ETSV Hamburg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Duneberg Clean Sheet 10%
ETSV Hamburg Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duneberg ETSV Hamburg
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 20
Draws 1 5
Losses 24 7
Goals Scored 1.17 3.28
Goals Conceded 4.2 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg vs Duneberg
7:1
Nov 11, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Duneberg vs ETSV Hamburg
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duneberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Muhlack T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

ETSV Hamburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Parduhn F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Siemsen Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duneberg 10 / 100
ETSV Hamburg 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duneberg ETSV Hamburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETSV Hamburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Duneberg found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: ETSV Hamburg conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

ETSV Hamburg's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS ETSV Hamburg
0 Goals Scored 3
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Duneberg

(Home)
17 May
ETSV Hamburg
7 : 1
Duneberg
11 May
Duneberg
0 : 9
Niendorfer TSV
26 Apr
Dassendorf
4 : 0
Duneberg
20 Apr
Duneberg
1 : 6
Harksheide
16 Apr
Duneberg
2 : 2
Suderelbe
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ETSV Hamburg

(Away)
04 Oct
Paloma
1 : 4
ETSV Hamburg
27 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 1
Tesla Hamburg
11 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
Harksheide
28 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
1 : 4
TSV Buchholz 08
21 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
HEBC Hamburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 91:29 82
2 Dassendorf 34 24 5 5 96:36 77
3 ETSV Hamburg 34 18 9 7 74:43 63
4 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 8 8 86:51 62
5 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 11 7 75:52 59
6 Sasel 34 16 8 10 76:54 56
7 Paloma 34 14 8 12 58:56 50
8 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 14 7 13 79:67 49
9 Suderelbe 34 13 9 12 85:61 48
10 TSV Buchholz 08 34 13 7 14 65:65 46
11 Harksheide 34 12 10 12 61:63 46
12 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 11 9 14 70:70 42
13 TSV Concordia 34 11 6 17 71:91 39
14 Alsterbruder 34 10 4 20 70:91 34
15 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 9 5 20 57:82 32
16 Rugenbergen 34 9 3 22 46:84 30
17 Tornesch 34 6 6 22 43:106 24
18 Duneberg 34 5 2 27 39:141 17
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