Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Duneberg vs Harksheide

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Moller M.
26' Event
Hartmann J.
32' Event
Fischer Y.

AI Match Summary

Harksheide in this Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Harksheide.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Duneberg
20%
Draws
70%
Harksheide
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harksheide

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Harksheide have won more games recently than Duneberg.
  • Harksheide are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Duneberg Clean Sheet 19%
Harksheide Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duneberg Harksheide
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 5 14
Draws 1 4
Losses 24 18
Goals Scored 1.17 1.92
Goals Conceded 4.2 2.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Duneberg vs Harksheide
1:6
Oct 20, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs Duneberg
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duneberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Moller M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Harksheide Compare

Top Goalscorer Fischer Y.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Hartmann J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duneberg 10 / 100
Harksheide 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duneberg Harksheide

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harksheide has conceded goals in 86% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Duneberg scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Duneberg stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Harksheide
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Duneberg

(Home)
17 May
ETSV Hamburg
7 : 1
Duneberg
11 May
Duneberg
0 : 9
Niendorfer TSV
26 Apr
Dassendorf
4 : 0
Duneberg
20 Apr
Duneberg
1 : 6
Harksheide
16 Apr
Duneberg
2 : 2
Suderelbe
Page 1 of 6

Harksheide

(Away)
31 Jul
Harksheide
1 : 1
Suderelbe
26 Jul
Pinneberg
2 : 1
Harksheide
15 May
HT 16
5 : 4
Harksheide
08 May
Harksheide
2 : 0
Curslack-Neuengamme
03 May
Halstenbek-Rellingen
0 : 4
Harksheide
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 91:29 82
2 Dassendorf 34 24 5 5 96:36 77
3 ETSV Hamburg 34 18 9 7 74:43 63
4 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 8 8 86:51 62
5 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 11 7 75:52 59
6 Sasel 34 16 8 10 76:54 56
7 Paloma 34 14 8 12 58:56 50
8 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 14 7 13 79:67 49
9 Suderelbe 34 13 9 12 85:61 48
10 TSV Buchholz 08 34 13 7 14 65:65 46
11 Harksheide 34 12 10 12 61:63 46
12 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 11 9 14 70:70 42
13 TSV Concordia 34 11 6 17 71:91 39
14 Alsterbruder 34 10 4 20 70:91 34
15 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 9 5 20 57:82 32
16 Rugenbergen 34 9 3 22 46:84 30
17 Tornesch 34 6 6 22 43:106 24
18 Duneberg 34 5 2 27 39:141 17
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)