Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Duneberg vs Tornesch

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Pankraz L.
9' Event
Brudler M.
17' Event
Scobel P.

AI Match Summary

Tornesch in this Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tornesch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Duneberg
15%
Draws
64%
Tornesch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tornesch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tornesch lately — more wins on the board than Duneberg.
  • Win probability leans Tornesch's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Duneberg Clean Sheet 10%
Tornesch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duneberg Tornesch
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 6
Draws 1 4
Losses 24 19
Goals Scored 1.17 1.31
Goals Conceded 4.2 3.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Duneberg vs Tornesch
2:5
Sep 24, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Tornesch vs Duneberg
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duneberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Brudler M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Tornesch Compare

Top Goalscorer Scobel P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pankraz L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.07
Avg xA / game 1.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duneberg 18 / 100
Tornesch 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duneberg Tornesch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tornesch Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tornesch let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Duneberg scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Tornesch lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Duneberg VS Tornesch
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
5.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Duneberg

(Home)
17 May
ETSV Hamburg
7 : 1
Duneberg
11 May
Duneberg
0 : 9
Niendorfer TSV
26 Apr
Dassendorf
4 : 0
Duneberg
20 Apr
Duneberg
1 : 6
Harksheide
16 Apr
Duneberg
2 : 2
Suderelbe
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Tornesch

(Away)
28 Jun
Tornesch
0 : 5
Eintracht Norderstedt
21 Jan
Tornesch
1 : 6
Eintracht Norderstedt
17 May
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
7 : 0
Tornesch
12 May
Tornesch
4 : 3
Alsterbruder
28 Apr
Sasel
4 : 0
Tornesch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 91:29 82
2 Dassendorf 34 24 5 5 96:36 77
3 ETSV Hamburg 34 18 9 7 74:43 63
4 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 8 8 86:51 62
5 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 11 7 75:52 59
6 Sasel 34 16 8 10 76:54 56
7 Paloma 34 14 8 12 58:56 50
8 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 14 7 13 79:67 49
9 Suderelbe 34 13 9 12 85:61 48
10 TSV Buchholz 08 34 13 7 14 65:65 46
11 Harksheide 34 12 10 12 61:63 46
12 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 11 9 14 70:70 42
13 TSV Concordia 34 11 6 17 71:91 39
14 Alsterbruder 34 10 4 20 70:91 34
15 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 9 5 20 57:82 32
16 Rugenbergen 34 9 3 22 46:84 30
17 Tornesch 34 6 6 22 43:106 24
18 Duneberg 34 5 2 27 39:141 17
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)