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Dunedin vs Western AFC

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Dunedin advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dunedin
25%
Draws
35%
Western AFC
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Dunedin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dunedin come out ahead of Western AFC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dunedin a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Dunedin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dunedin, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Dunedin Clean Sheet 14%
Western AFC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunedin Western AFC
Matches Played 30 1
Wins 11 0
Draws 3 0
Losses 16 1
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 2.17 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2012 Chatham Cup
Dunedin vs Western AFC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunedin 41 / 100
Western AFC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunedin Western AFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Western AFC has conceded goals in 100% of their last 1 outings.

Attacking prowess: Dunedin scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Dunedin has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dunedin VS Western AFC
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunedin

(Home)
09 Aug
Dunedin
1 : 2
Mangere United
11 Jul
Dunedin
6 : 1
Mosgiel
27 Jul
Dunedin
0 : 3
Cashmere Technical
28 Jun
Dunedin
1 : 0
Otago University
21 Jul
Miramar
5 : 1
Dunedin
Page 1 of 6

Western AFC

(Away)
08 Jul
Dunedin
1 : 0
Western AFC

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Miramar 4
Stop Out SC 0
Dunedin 1
Western AFC 0
Three Kings 2
Central United 3
Melville 0
Eastern Suburbs 1
Caversham 4
Cashmere Technical 2
Manukau City 2
Papatoetoe 1
Birkenhead 4
Hamilton 1
Lower Hutt City 2
Napier City 0
Quarter-finals
Miramar 5
Dunedin 1
Central United 2
Eastern Suburbs 0
Caversham 3
Manukau City 1
Birkenhead 2
Lower Hutt City 3
Semi-finals
Miramar 0
Central United 6
Caversham 0
Lower Hutt City 4
Final
Central United 6
Lower Hutt City 1