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Dunfermline vs Cove Rangers

Scotland Scotland

League Cup East End Park, Dunfermline
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Tod A.
15' Event
Shaw O.
Assist: Tod A.
33' Event
Shaw O.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Dunfermline in this League Cup tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dunfermline
6%
Draws
4%
Cove Rangers
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dunfermline

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cove Rangers haven't matched Dunfermline's recent run of results.
  • Dunfermline are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Dunfermline have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cove Rangers, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Dunfermline Clean Sheet 68%
Cove Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunfermline Cove Rangers
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 League Cup
Dunfermline vs Cove Rangers
5:0
Jul 27, 2024 League Cup
Dunfermline vs Cove Rangers
1:2
Jul 2, 2024 Club Friendly
Cove Rangers vs Dunfermline
1:1
Jun 28, 2023 Club Friendly
Cove Rangers vs Dunfermline
1:1
Jun 25, 2022 Club Friendly
Cove Rangers vs Dunfermline
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunfermline Compare

Top Goalscorer Tod A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Shaw O.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cove Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunfermline 95 / 100
Cove Rangers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunfermline Cove Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunfermline scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Cove Rangers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Dunfermline remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dunfermline VS Cove Rangers
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunfermline

(Home)
21 Jul
Dunfermline
5 : 0
Cove Rangers
14 Jul
Dunfermline
4 : 1
Dumbarton
11 Jul
East Kilbride
3 : 0
Dunfermline
04 Jul
Kelty Hearts
0 : 3
Dunfermline
27 Jun
Clyde
1 : 2
Dunfermline
Page 1 of 6

Cove Rangers

(Away)
21 Jul
Dunfermline
5 : 0
Cove Rangers
18 Jul
Cove Rangers
0 : 4
St. Mirren
14 Jul
Cove Rangers
3 : 2
East Kilbride
11 Jul
Cove Rangers
2 : 4
St Johnstone
07 Jul
Cove Rangers
1 : 4
Inverness
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aberdeen33008:29
2Queen's Park32016:36
3Kelty Hearts32014:55
4Queen of the South31025:54
5Brora Rangers40043:110
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dundee Utd43018:19
2Montrose33005:09
3Stirling31023:43
4Arbroath31022:63
5Spartans30032:90
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Mirren330012:39
2Dunfermline32019:46
3East Kilbride420213:106
4Cove Rangers31023:113
5Dumbarton30034:130
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ross County33008:38
2Dundee FC320110:37
3Clyde32016:46
4Airdrieonians31025:53
5Annan40042:160
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick430113:39
2Stenhousemuir33006:38
3Livingston320111:17
4Brechin30031:100
5Forfar Athletic30030:140
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inverness33004:18
2East Fife32016:27
3St Johnstone32015:16
4Linlithgow Rose41032:73
5Morton30030:60
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ayr33006:29
2Edinburgh City42024:76
3Falkirk31026:24
4Alloa32013:54
5Stranraer30034:71
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Raith42025:28
2Kilmarnock33002:08
3Hamilton32012:25
4Peterhead31023:33
5Elgin City30032:70
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams