Sport Picks
Dunfermline vs Arbroath - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Dunfermline host Arbroath in the Championship. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Dunfermline at 1.29 goals for, 0.94 against; Arbroath at 0.96 for, 1.39 against. Head-to-head, Dunfermline have won 1 to Arbroath's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 0.76, favoring Dunfermline. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Arbroath haven't matched Dunfermline's recent run of results.
- Dunfermline are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dunfermline | Arbroath |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dunfermline scored in 71% of their last 31 games.
Arbroath's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Dunfermline remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Dunfermline
(Home)Arbroath
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Partick | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 12:4 | 22 |
| 3 | Raith | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 21 |
| 4 | Inverness | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 16 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 8:6 | 15 |
| 6 | Livingston | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Ayr | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | 11 |
| 9 | Morton | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:18 | 7 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6:18 | 7 |